Nuggets vs. Hawks: NBA Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – December 11, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on December 9, 2023

The Denver Nuggets (14-9) are 2.5-point favorites in a matchup against with the Atlanta Hawks (9-12) on December 11, 2023, when two of the NBA’s biggest stars — the Nuggets’ Nikola Jokic and the Hawks’ Trae Young — will hit the floor at State Farm Arena. A 241.5-point over/under has been set for the matchup.

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Nuggets vs. Hawks Betting Odds

Favorite Spread Total
Nuggets -2.5 241.5

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Injury Report as of December 11

Nuggets: Jamal Murray: Probable (Ankle), Vlatko Cancar: Out (Knee)

Hawks: De’Andre Hunter: Questionable (Quadricep), Mouhamed Gueye: Out (Back), Kobe Bufkin: Out (Thumb), Jalen Johnson: Out (Wrist)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Hawks (+2.5)
Total Pick Under (241.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Nuggets vs. Hawks Stat Rankings

Nuggets Avg. (Rank) Hawks Avg. (Rank)
113.6 (14th) Points Scored 122.2 (2nd)
110.6 (7th) Points Allowed 122.5 (27th)
44.1 (15th) Rebounds 45 (9th)
11.1 (12th) Off. Rebounds 13.4 (2nd)
11.5 (23rd) 3pt Made 13.8 (8th)
29.7 (2nd) Assists 25.1 (22nd)
11.8 (2nd) Turnovers 13.7 (19th)

Best Betting Site for Nuggets vs. Hawks

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Nuggets Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Nikola Jokic 22 28.4 13 9.6 1.1 0.8 1.3
Michael Porter Jr. 23 17.6 8.1 1.6 0.5 0.9 3
Jamal Murray 10 17.4 2.9 6.7 0.3 0.6 2.3
Reggie Jackson 23 13.3 2.4 4.5 0.7 0.3 1.7
Aaron Gordon 19 12.5 7.1 3.6 1.1 0.8 0.5

Hawks Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Trae Young 18 26.4 2.7 10.7 1.4 0.1 2.9
Dejounte Murray 20 20.2 4.5 5.7 1.7 0.3 2.2
Bogdan Bogdanovic 20 16.2 3.4 2.2 1.3 0.4 3.1
De’Andre Hunter 20 14.9 4.5 1.4 0.9 0.3 1.8
Saddiq Bey 20 13.5 6.2 1.3 1.1 0.2 2

Betting Trends

  • The Nuggets have eight wins in 23 games against the spread this year.
  • Denver is 6-12-1 as 2.5-point favorites or more.
  • Out of 23 Nuggets games so far this year, nine have gone over the total.
  • In four games this season, Denver and its opponent have combined for more than 241.5 points.
  • The over/under for this game is 241.5 points, 17.3 more than the average point total for Nuggets games this season.
  • The Hawks are 5-16-0 against the spread this season.
  • Atlanta has won once ATS (1-4) as a 2.5-point underdog or greater this season.
  • The Hawks have seen 12 of their 21 games go over the point total.
  • There have been 10 Atlanta’s games this year with more than 241.5 points scored.
  • The average total points scored in Hawks games this year (241.5) is 3.2 points higher than the total for this matchup.

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