Falcons vs. Buccaneers Predictions, Betting Trends and Stats – Week 14

Written By PlayPicks Staff on December 8, 2023 - Last Updated on September 25, 2024

The Atlanta Falcons (6-6) are set to collide with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-7) at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Sunday, December 10 at 1:00 PM ET. Both teams won their last contest, as the Falcons defeated the Jets 13-8, and the Buccaneers won 21-18 versus the Panthers.

The Buccaneers are expected to have a shot as underdogs (+2) against the Falcons (the game has a total of 41 points).

The insights in the article below are based off odds valid as of December 10, 2023 at 12:11 AM ET. Check out the article below for the most up-to-date lines for this game and click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Falcons Vs Buccaneers Odds

Favorite Spread Over/Under
Falcons -2 41

Falcons vs. Buccaneers Predictions

Computer picks for Falcons vs Buccaneers
ATS pick Over/Under pick
Buccaneers (+2) Under (41)

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Team Stat Rankings

Falcons Buccaneers
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 18.8 (25) 19.4 (23)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 20.0 (6) 20.4 (9)
Off. Yards per Play (Rank) 5.0 (21) 5.0 (21)
Def. Yards per Play (Rank) 5.0 (8) 5.5 (25)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 18 (20) 13 (9)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 15 (19) 18 (12)

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Falcons Betting Insights

  • Against the spread, the Falcons are 4-8-0 this season.
  • Atlanta has two wins ATS (2-6) as a 2-point or higher favorite in 2023.
  • This year, four of the Falcons’ 12 games have hit the over.
  • The over/under for this game is 41 points, 0.6 more than the average point total for Atlanta games this season (postseason included).

Buccaneers Betting Insights

  • The Buccaneers are 7-5-0 against the spread this year.
  • Tampa Bay’s ATS record as 2-point underdogs or greater is 5-3.
  • The Buccaneers have seen four of their 12 games hit the over.
  • There have been five Tampa Bay games this season with more than 41 points scored.
  • This season, Buccaneers games have resulted in an average scoring total of 41.5, which is 0.5 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.

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Falcons Players to Watch

  • Desmond Ridder has thrown for 2,029 yards (184.5 ypg) to lead Atlanta, completing 63.3% of his passes and collecting eight touchdown passes compared to eight interceptions this season. He’s also contributed in the ground game with 180 rushing yards on 42 carries with four rushing touchdowns.
  • Bijan Robinson has carried the ball 159 times for a team-high 756 yards on the ground and has found the end zone three times as a runner. He’s also tacked on 35 catches for 266 yards (22.2 per game) and three touchdowns via the passing game.
  • This season, Tyler Allgeier has carried the ball 143 times for 492 yards (41.0 per game) and three touchdowns.
  • Drake London leads his squad with 573 yards as a receiver. He’s racked up that yardage on 46 receptions (out of 73 targets) and scored two touchdowns.
  • Kyle Pitts has caught 41 passes for 492 yards (41.0 yards per game) and one touchdown this year.
  • Jonnu Smith has been the target of 48 passes and racked up 37 receptions for 433 yards, an average of 36.1 yards per contest. He’s found the end zone two times through the air this season.
  • Arnold Ebiketie paces the team with 5.5 sacks, and also has 3.0 TFL and 18 tackles.
  • Jessie Bates III has 92 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and five interceptions, and leads the team in both tackles and interceptions.

Buccaneers Players to Watch

  • Baker Mayfield has been a dual threat for Tampa Bay this season. He has 2,790 passing yards (232.5 per game) while completing 63.6% of his passes. He’s tossed 18 touchdown passes and eight interceptions this season. On the ground, he’s compiled 151 yards (12.6 ypg) on 46 carries.
  • The team’s top rusher, Rachaad White, has carried the ball 176 times for 643 yards (53.6 per game), with five touchdowns this year. He’s proven to be a dual threat, hauling in 386 receiving yards (32.2 per game) on 46 catches with one receiving touchdown.
  • Mike Evans has registered 61 catches this season and his team-high yardage total sits at 1,012 (84.3 yards per game). He’s been targeted 103 times and has 10 touchdowns.
  • Chris Godwin has totaled 606 receiving yards (50.5 yards per game) and one touchdown on 53 receptions.
  • Vita Vea has collected 5.5 sacks to lead the team, while also picking up 8.0 TFL and 33 tackles.
  • Lavonte David, Tampa Bay’s top tackler, has 90 tackles, 14.0 TFL, and 3.0 sacks this year.
  • Antoine Winfield Jr. leads the team with two interceptions, while also collecting 89 tackles, 4.0 TFL, 3.0 sacks, and 11 passes defended.

How to Bet on Falcons vs Buccaneers

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