Chiefs vs. Bills Predictions, Betting Trends and Stats – Week 14

Written By PlayPicks Staff on December 8, 2023 - Last Updated on September 25, 2024

The Buffalo Bills (6-6), who rank fifth in the league by scoring 27.3 points per game, will be tested by the third-ranked scoring defense of the Kansas City Chiefs (8-4), who allow opponents to score 17.3 per game. The matchup begins at 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, December 10 at Arrowhead Stadium.

The Bills are slight underdogs (+2) in their matchup with the Chiefs (the game has a total of 49.5 points).

The betting facts in the following article are based off odds valid as of December 10, 2023 at 4:11 PM ET. Head to the article below for the latest lines for this matchup and click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Chiefs Vs Bills Odds

Favorite Spread Over/Under
Chiefs -2 49.5

Chiefs vs. Bills Predictions

Computer picks for Chiefs vs Bills
ATS pick Over/Under pick
Chiefs (-2) Under (49.5)

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Team Stat Rankings

Chiefs Bills
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 22.9 (11) 27.3 (5)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 17.3 (3) 18.9 (5)
Off. Yards per Play (Rank) 5.6 (8) 5.9 (3)
Def. Yards per Play (Rank) 5.0 (8) 5.3 (16)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 20 (24) 20 (24)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 14 (23) 21 (2)

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Chiefs Betting Insights

  • The Chiefs’ record against the spread is 7-5-0.
  • As 2-point favorites or more, Kansas City is 6-5 against the spread.
  • Out of 12 Chiefs games so far this year, four have hit the over.
  • The over/under in this game is 49.5 points, 1.9 higher than the average total in Kansas City games this season.

Bills Betting Insights

  • The Bills are 4-8-0 against the spread this year.
  • Buffalo doesn’t have a win ATS (0-1) as a 2-point underdog or greater this season.
  • There have been four Bills games (out of 12) that hit the over this year.
  • So far this season, three Buffalo games have featured more than 49.5 points scored.
  • Games involving the Bills this year have averaged 46 points per game, a 3.5-point differential when compared to the over/under for this contest.

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Chiefs Players to Watch

  • Patrick Mahomes II has racked up 331 yards on 57 carries.
  • Clyde Edwards-Helaire has carried the ball 40 times for 140 yards (12.7 per game) and one touchdown.
  • Travis Kelce has hauled in 74 receptions for 813 yards (73.9 yards per game) to lead the team this season. He’s found the end zone five times as a receiver.
  • Rashee Rice has hauled in 52 receptions totaling 591 yards, finding the end zone five times as a receiver this campaign.
  • Justin Watson has a total of 332 receiving yards this year, grabbing 20 throws and scoring two touchdowns.
  • George Karlaftis leads the team with 8.0 sacks, and also has 5.0 TFL and 37 tackles.
  • Kansas City’s leading tackler, Justin Reid, has 68 tackles, 2.0 TFL, 1.0 sack, and one interception this year.
  • L’Jarius Sneed has a team-high two interceptions to go along with 56 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and eight passes defended.

Bills Players to Watch

  • James Cook has rushed for 731 yards on 153 carries this year while scoring one time on the ground. He’s also added 33 catches, totaling 308 yards and two touchdowns through the air.
  • Josh Allen has compiled 342 yards on 62 carries with nine touchdowns.
  • Stefon Diggs leads his team with 969 receiving yards on 83 catches with eight touchdowns.
  • Gabriel Davis has caught 39 passes and compiled 595 receiving yards (49.6 per game) with six touchdowns.
  • Dalton Kincaid has racked up 474 reciving yards (43.1 ypg) and two touchdowns this season.
  • Leonard Floyd has collected 9.5 sacks to lead the team, while also picking up 7.0 TFL and 25 tackles.
  • Buffalo’s leading tackler, Terrel Bernard, has 104 tackles, 6.0 TFL, 3.5 sacks, and three interceptions this year.
  • Rasul Douglas leads the team with three interceptions, while also collecting 49 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and 10 passes defended.

How to Bet on Chiefs vs Bills

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