In a game featuring two of the best offensive squads in the league, the Philadelphia 76ers (13-7) are 7.5-point favorites for their matchup with the Atlanta Hawks (9-11) at Wells Fargo Center on December 8, 2023. The matchup has an over/under of 240.5 points.
Check out below to dig into the best bets you can make on Friday’s game, based on our computer predictions.
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Spread: 76ers (-7.5) to Cover
- The DraftKings line for this game has the 76ers favored by 7.5, while the model predicts they’ll win by slightly more (9.8 points).
- Philadelphia is 13-7-0 against the spread this season.
- The 76ers are 3-3 ATS this season when playing as at least 7.5-point favorites.
- Atlanta’s ATS record is 5-15-0 this year.
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Total: Under 240.5
- DraftKings and the model are extremely close in their point total projections for this game, within 0.8 points of each other.
- Philadelphia’s games have finished with more than 240.5 points eight times so far this year.
- Atlanta’s games have gone over 240.5 points on 10 occasions this season.
- The 76ers and their opponents have combined to go over the point total 14 out of 20 times this season.
- In the Hawks’ 20 chances this year, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 11 times.
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Moneyline Winner: 76ers (-325)
- Prediction: 76ers 125, Hawks 115
- Philadelphia has been the favorite in 14 games this season and won 12 (85.7%) of those contests.
- Atlanta has won in three of the nine contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year.
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Tobias Harris Points Prop: Over 16.5
- Tobias Harris puts up 17.4 points, 6.1 boards and 2.6 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 1 steal and 0.3 blocks.
- The 16.5-point over/under set for Harris on Friday is 0.9 lower than his season scoring average of 17.4.
- He has gone over 11 times on a points prop this season (in 21 opportunities).
- The Hawks are the second-best team in the NBA in points scored (122.7 per game) but fourth-worst in points allowed (122.4).
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Clint Capela Rebounds Prop: Under 9.5
- Clint Capela gives the Hawks 10.8 points, 10.2 rebounds and 0.9 assists per contest while delivering 0.7 steals and 1.7 blocked shots (10th in league).
- He averages 0.7 more rebounds than his prop bet Friday of 9.5.
- He has recorded more rebounds than his total in 12 of his 21 games with a prop set this season.
- The 76ers are pulling down 45 rebounds per game this season (ninth-ranked in NBA), and they’ve ceded just 41.6 rebounds per contest (fourth-best).
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