In a contest featuring one of the top shooting teams in the NBA versus one of the best defending against the 3-pointer, the Dallas Mavericks (12-8) are favorites, by eight points, against the Portland Trail Blazers (6-14) at Moda Center on December 8, 2023. The Mavericks are first in the league in treys per game (16.2), while the Trail Blazers are second in 3’s allowed (10.4). The matchup has an over/under of 231.5 points.
If you are aiming to make an informed wager on Friday’s game, dig into the best bets available for this matchup, in the article below (according to our computer predictions).
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Spread: Trail Blazers (+8) to Cover
- The spread for this game suggested by the model (3.1 points) is significantly less than the 8-point edge DraftKings gives to the Mavericks, though the data still has them as the favorite. Put your money on the Trail Blazers to cover.
- Portland’s ATS record is 10-10-0 this season.
- The Trail Blazers have been an underdog by 8 points or more 12 times this season, and covered the spread in seven of those matchups.
- Dallas’ ATS record is 10-10-0 this season.
- The Mavericks have covered the spread once when favored by 8 points or more this season (in two opportunities).
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Total: Under 231.5
- The DraftKings point total for this game is just 4.7 points highter than the model projection.
- Dallas’ games have had more than 231.5 points scored on 15 occasions this year.
- Portland’s games have finished with over 231.5 points only two times this season.
- A total of 14 out of the Mavericks’ 20 games this season have hit the over.
- A total of eight Trail Blazers games this season have hit the over.
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Moneyline Winner: Mavericks (-325)
- Prediction: Mavericks 115, Trail Blazers 112
- This season, Dallas has been favored 14 times and won 10, or 71.4%, of those games.
- Portland has won in six, or 30%, of the 20 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year.
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