The Orlando Magic (14-7) are big favorites, by 11 points, over the Detroit Pistons (2-19) on December 8, 2023 at Amway Center. The Pistons are sputtering right now, having lost 18 in a row and going 0-10 in their past 10 games. The matchup’s point total is set at 229.
Keep reading to dig into the best bets you can make on Friday’s game, based on our computer predictions.
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Spread: Magic (-11) to Cover
- Our computers expect the same result as DraftKings, but have the Magic winning by a considerably greater margin (16.3 points). Take the Magic.
- Orlando’s ATS record is 15-6-0 this season.
- Detroit is 8-12-1 against the spread this year.
- The Pistons have covered the spread when playing as at least 11-point underdogs in two of two chances this season.
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Total: Under 229
- In this matchup, the model projects a total (225.7 points) marginally lower than the DraftKings over/under (229 points).
- Orlando’s games have finished with more than 229 points nine times so far this year.
- So far this year, 10 Detroit’s games have featured over 229 points scored.
- The Magic and their opponents have combined to hit the over 11 out of 21 times this season.
- In the Pistons’ 21 chances this year, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 12 times.
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Moneyline Winner: Magic (-535)
- Prediction: Magic 121, Pistons 105
- Orlando has been listed as the favorite seven times this season and has won all of those games.
- Detroit has been chosen as underdogs in 19 games this year and has walked away with the win two times (10.5%) in those games.
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Paolo Banchero Rebounds Prop: Under 7.5
- Paolo Banchero puts up 20.8 points, 6.8 rebounds and 4.7 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 1 steal and 0.7 blocks.
- His per-game rebound average — 6.8 — is 0.7 fewer than his prop bet over/under in Friday’s game (7.5).
- He has recorded more rebounds than his listed total in seven of his 22 games with a prop this season.
- On the glass, the Pistons are eighth in the league in rebounds (45.3 per game). They are fifth-best in rebounds conceded (42.3 per game).
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