Nuggets vs. Rockets: NBA Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – November 12, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on November 17, 2023

The Denver Nuggets (8-1) visit the Houston Rockets (5-3) at Toyota Center, starting at 7:00 PM ET on Sunday, November 12, 2023. The Rockets are 4.5-point underdogs in the game. A 217-point over/under is set in the matchup.

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Nuggets vs. Rockets Betting Odds

Favorite Spread Total
Nuggets -4.5 217

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Injury Report as of November 12

Nuggets: Vlatko Cancar: Out (Knee), Jamal Murray: Out (Hamstring)

Rockets: Victor Oladipo: Out (Knee), Amen Thompson: Out (Ankle)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Rockets (+4.5)
Total Pick Over (217)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Nuggets vs. Rockets Stat Rankings

Nuggets Avg. (Rank) Rockets Avg. (Rank)
116 (9th) Points Scored 111.5 (18th)
106 (3rd) Points Allowed 106 (3rd)
45.1 (14th) Rebounds 43.1 (20th)
10.4 (18th) Off. Rebounds 9.1 (26th)
12.1 (17th) 3pt Made 12.8 (13th)
30 (2nd) Assists 26 (13th)
12.3 (3rd) Turnovers 12.6 (5th)

Best Betting Site for Nuggets vs. Rockets

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Nuggets Key Players

Nikola Jokic 3 26.3 13 7.7 0.7 0.7 1.7
Jamal Murray 3 20.7 1.7 6.3 0 0.7 2.7
Michael Porter Jr. 3 13.7 11.3 2.3 0.7 0 2.7
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 3 11.7 2.3 1 3.3 0.7 1.7
Aaron Gordon 3 11.3 4 3.3 2 1.7 0.3

Rockets Key Players

Alperen Sengun 3 19.3 9 6.7 0.7 0.3 0.7
Jalen Green 3 17.7 5 1.7 0.3 0.7 1
Fred VanVleet 3 15.3 3 7 1 0 2.7
Dillon Brooks 3 14.3 3.3 2 0.7 0 2.3
Jabari Smith Jr. 3 11.3 7.3 2 1.3 0 1.3

Betting Trends

  • The Nuggets have five wins in nine games against the spread this season.
  • Denver has an ATS record of 4-3 as 4.5-point favorites or more.
  • The Nuggets have played nine games this season, and three of them have hit the over.
  • In five games this year, Denver and its opponent have combined for more than 217 points.
  • Nuggets games have had an average of 222 points this season, five points higher than the over/under for this matchup.
  • The Rockets have covered the spread four times in eight games.
  • Houston is winless ATS (0-2) when playing as at least a 4.5-point underdog this year.
  • There have been three Rockets games (out of eight) that hit the over this year.
  • Houston’s games have had over 217 points four times this year.
  • The average total points scored in Rockets games this year (217) is 0.5 points higher than the total for this matchup.

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