The Land Grant Trophy is up for grabs when the No. 11 Penn State Nittany Lions (9-2) and the Michigan State Spartans (5-6) clash. The Nittany Lions () play host to the Spartans ( to win on the moneyline) on November 26, 2022 at 4:00 PM ET on FS1. An over/under of points has been set for the matchup by sportsbooks.
The insights in the article below are based off odds valid as of November 26, 2022 at 7:23 AM ET. Check out the table below for the latest odds for this matchup and click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Penn State Vs. Michigan State Odds
Computer Pick
| Spread | Over/Under |
|---|---|
| Penn State (-19.5) | Under (53.5) |
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Team Stat Comparison
| Penn State | Stats (Rank) | Michigan State |
|---|---|---|
| 35.9 (19) | Points Per Game | 25.2 (86) |
| 18.2 (14) | Points Per Game Against | 26.7 (72) |
| 250.4 (43) | Pass Yards | 241.0 (54) |
| 210.5 (47) | Pass Yards Against | 236.8 (87) |
| 184.1 (44) | Rush Yards | 121.0 (104) |
| 113.3 (23) | Rush Yards Against | 180.3 (98) |
| 13 (35) | Giveaways | 13 (35) |
| 18 (28) | Takeaways | 12 (92) |
| +5 | Turnover Differential | -1 |
Penn State Vs. Michigan State Betting Insights
Penn State Stats And Trends
- Penn State has eight wins in 11 games against the spread this season.
- Penn State owns one win ATS (1-2) as a 19.5-point favorite or greater this season.
- This season, eight of Penn State’s 11 games have gone over the point total.
- Seven times so far this year, the Nittany Lions and their opponent have combined for more than 53.5 points.
- Nittany Lions games this season have posted an average total of 52.0, which is 1.5 points fewer than the total for this matchup.
Recent Head-To-Head Matchups
Michigan State and Penn State have split their last two meetings 1-1. Penn State outscored Michigan State 66-54 in those two head-to-head matchups.
Michigan State Stats And Trends
- Michigan State has five wins in 11 contests against the spread this year.
- As a 19.5-point underdog or more, Michigan State has one win ATS (1-1) this year.
- This season, five of Michigan State’s 11 games have gone over the point total.
- Spartans games have finished with more than 53.5 points four times this season.
- Spartans games average 52.3 total points, 1.2 fewer than the total for this matchup.
Penn State Players To Watch
- Sean Clifford leads Penn State with 2,341 passing yards (212.8 ypg) on 191-of-306 passing with 18 touchdowns compared to seven interceptions this season. He also adds 186 rushing yards (16.9 ypg) on 55 carries while scoring five touchdowns on the ground.
- Nicholas Singleton’s team-high 854 rushing yards (77.6 per game) have come on 131 carries, with 10 touchdowns this year.
- This season Kaytron Allen has piled up 748 yards (68.0 per game) on 135 carries with nine touchdowns.
- Parker Washington’s 611 receiving yards (61.1 yards per game) pace all receivers on the team. He’s collected 46 receptions and two touchdowns.
- Mitchell Tinsley has grabbed 44 passes for 515 yards (46.8 yards per game) and four touchdowns this year.
- Brenton Strange has hauled in 30 catches for 345 yards (31.4 ypg) and five touchdowns this season.
Michigan State Players To Watch
- Payton Thorne leads Michigan State with 2,450 passing yards (222.7 ypg) on 218-of-344 passing with 18 touchdowns compared to 10 interceptions this season.
- Jalen Berger’s team-high 669 rushing yards (60.8 per game) have come on 141 carries, with six touchdowns this year.
- This season Jarek Broussard has racked up 292 yards (29.2 per game) on 61 attempts with three touchdowns.
- Keon Coleman’s 707 receiving yards (64.3 yards per game) pace all receivers on the team. He’s registered 50 receptions and seven touchdowns.
- Jayden Reed has caught 49 passes for 600 yards (60.0 yards per game) and five touchdowns this year.
- Tre Mosley’s 31 grabs this season have resulted in 297 yards (27.0 ypg) and four touchdowns.
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