Troy vs. Duke: 76 Birmingham Bowl Betting Picks, Predictions and Tips – December 23, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on December 8, 2023

The Troy Trojans are solid favorites (-7.5) in this season’s 76 Birmingham Bowl, where they will face the Duke Blue Devils. The game kicks off at 12:00 PM ET on ABC from Protective Stadium in Birmingham, Alabama. The over/under is 44.5 in the outing.

Want to bet on Troy or Duke in this matchup? Head to DraftKings Sportsbook to place your wager today!

Troy vs. Duke Odds

Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Troy -7.5 -112 -108 44.5 -110 -110

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Computer Pick

Computer picks for Troy vs Duke
ATS Total Score prediction
Duke (+7.5) Over (44.5) Troy 26 Duke 21

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Team Stat Comparison

Troy Duke
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 31.2 (33) 27.8 (67)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 17.2 (12) 19.8 (18)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 12 (50) 9 (24)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 12 (73) 11 (87)

Troy vs. Duke Betting Insights

Troy Stats and Trends

  • Troy has compiled an 8-5-0 record against the spread this season.
  • The Trojans are 3-2 ATS this season when playing as at least 7.5-point favorites.
  • Troy games have hit the over six out of 13 times this season.
  • Trojans games this season have gone over this contest’s total of 44.5 points seven times.
  • Troy has an average total of 49.2 in their outings this year, 4.7 more points than this game’s over/under.

Duke Stats and Trends

  • Duke has put together a 6-6-0 ATS record so far this year.
  • The Blue Devils have covered the spread twice this year (2-1 ATS) when playing as at least 7.5-point underdogs.
  • Duke and its opponent have combined to go over the point total seven out of 12 times this season.
  • The Devils have combined with their opponents to score more than 44.5 points in eight of 12 games this season.
  • Duke has a 47.4-point average over/under in their contests this season, 2.9 more points than this game’s total.

Troy Players to Watch

  • Gunnar Watson leads the team with 3,327 passing yards (255.9 yards per game) and has a 61.2% completion percentage this year (246-of-402) while throwing 27 touchdowns with five interceptions.
  • Kimani Vidal has 280 attempts for a team-high 1,583 rushing yards (121.8 per game) and 14 touchdowns. He also has 17 catches for 198 receiving yards (15.2 per game) and one touchdown.
  • Damien Taylor has 343 yards on 66 carries (31.2 ypg), with one rushing touchdown.
  • This season Jabre Barber has 64 catches and leads the team with 887 yards (68.2 per game) while scoring five touchdowns.
  • Chris Lewis has added 734 yards (on 32 catches) and 10 touchdowns.
  • Deshon Stoudemire is averaging 46.9 yards per game, racking up 43 receptions for 563 yards and one touchdown.

Duke Players to Watch

  • Riley Leonard leads his team with 1,102 passing yards (157.4 per game) and has a 57.6% completion percentage (95-of-165), throwing three touchdown passes and three interceptions. He also has 352 rushing yards on 58 carries (with four touchdowns), averaging 50.3 yards per game.
  • Jordan Waters has run for a team-leading 753 yards on 142 attempts (62.8 yards per game) while scoring 12 touchdowns.
  • Jaquez Moore has 601 yards on 102 carries (50.1 ypg), with six rushing touchdowns.
  • This season Jordan Moore has 59 receptions for a team-high 794 receiving yards (66.2 per game) and eight touchdowns.
  • Jalon Calhoun’s stat line this year shows 48 catches for 642 yards and four touchdowns. He puts up 53.5 receiving yards per game.
  • Sahmir Hagans has caught 25 passes for 205 yards, averaging 22.8 yards per game this year.

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