Appalachian State vs. Miami (OH): Avocados From Mexico Cure Bowl Betting Picks, Predictions and Tips – December 16, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on December 8, 2023

In this season’s Avocados From Mexico Cure Bowl, the Appalachian State Mountaineers are the favorites, but by less than a touchdown (-6.5) over the Miami (OH) RedHawks. FBC Mortgage Stadium in Orlando, Florida will host the matchup on December 16, 2023, starting at 3:30 PM ET on ABC. The over/under in this contest is 41.5 points.

Want to bet on Appalachian State or Miami (OH) in this matchup? Head to DraftKings Sportsbook to place your wager today!

Appalachian State vs. Miami (OH) Odds

Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Appalachian State -6.5 -112 -108 41.5 -108 -112

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Computer Pick

Computer picks for Appalachian State vs Miami (OH)
ATS Total Score prediction
Miami (OH) (+6.5) Over (41.5) Appalachian State 26 Miami (OH) 25

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Team Stat Comparison

Appalachian State Miami (OH)
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 34.8 (16) 26.9 (57)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 28.4 (103) 16.2 (8)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 13 (71) 9 (24)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 17 (13) 11 (85)

Appalachian State vs. Miami (OH) Betting Insights

Appalachian State Stats and Trends

  • Appalachian State is 6-6-1 ATS this season.
  • The Mountaineers have been favored by 6.5 points or more five times this season, and covered the spread in two of those games.
  • Appalachian State and its opponent have combined to go over the point total seven out of 13 times this season.
  • The Mountaineers and their opponents have gone over 41.5 combined points in 11 of 13 games this season.
  • App State’s outings this year have an average point total of 55.3, 13.8 more points than this game’s over/under.

Miami (OH) Stats and Trends

  • Miami (OH) has won 10 games against the spread this season, failing to cover three times.
  • The RedHawks have covered the spread three times this year (3-1 ATS) when playing as at least 6.5-point underdogs.
  • In Miami (OH)’s 13 contests this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total five times.
  • The RedHawks have played five games this season that finished with a combined score over 41.5 points.
  • The average total for Miami games this season has been 43.0, 1.5 more points than this matchup’s over/under.

Appalachian State Players to Watch

  • Joey Aguilar leads the team with 3,546 passing yards (272.8 yards per game) and has a 64.3% completion percentage this year (275-of-428) while throwing 33 touchdowns with nine interceptions. He also has 235 rushing yards on 76 carries with two touchdowns, averaging 18.1 yards per game.
  • Nathaniel Noel has taken 174 attempts for a team-leading 827 rushing yards (75.2 yards per game) while scoring five touchdowns.
  • Kanye Roberts has run for 648 yards on 113 carries (58.9 yards per game), with seven touchdowns on the ground this year.
  • Kaedin Robinson has racked up 59 receptions for 787 yards, best on his team, and 10 touchdowns. He averages 60.5 receiving yards per game.
  • Christian Horn has tacked on 544 yards on 34 catches and six touchdowns. He puts up 54.4 receiving yards per game this year.
  • Makai Jackson is averaging 29.5 yards per game, racking up 24 receptions for 383 yards and two touchdowns.

Miami (OH) Players to Watch

  • Brett Gabbert has thrown for 1,634 yards while completing 59% of his passes (111-of-188), with 14 touchdowns and five interceptions this year (181.6 yards per game). He’s also carried the ball 49 times for 140 yards and two touchdowns, averaging 15.6 yards per game.
  • Rashad Amos has 176 attempts for a team-high 887 rushing yards (68.2 per game) and 12 touchdowns.
  • Aveon Smith has 280 yards on 75 carries (31.1 ypg), with one rushing touchdown.
  • This season Gage Larvadain has 39 receptions for a team-high 660 receiving yards (73.3 per game) and seven touchdowns.
  • Cade McDonald’s stat line this year shows 27 catches for 349 yards and three touchdowns. He puts up 29.1 receiving yards per game.
  • Joe Wilkins is averaging 38.1 yards per game, racking up 25 receptions for 343 yards and one touchdown.

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