Arkansas State vs. Northern Illinois: Camellia Bowl Betting Picks, Predictions and Tips – December 23, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on December 8, 2023

The Northern Illinois Huskies are the underdogs, but by less than a field goal (+2.5), in this season’s Camellia Bowl, where they will oppose the Arkansas State Red Wolves. The matchup will kick off from the Cramton Bowl in Montgomery, Alabama on December 23, 2023, starting at 12:00 PM ETand airing on ESPN. An over/under of 53.5 points has been set for the outing.

Want to bet on Arkansas State or Northern Illinois in this matchup? Head to DraftKings Sportsbook to place your wager today!

Arkansas State vs. Northern Illinois Odds

Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Arkansas State -2.5 -112 -108 53.5 -112 -108

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Computer Pick

Computer picks for Arkansas State vs Northern Illinois
ATS Total Score prediction
Arkansas State (-2.5) Over (53.5) Arkansas State 29 Northern Illinois 26

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Team Stat Comparison

Arkansas State Northern Illinois
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 27.8 (67) 25.3 (84)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 31.2 (104) 21.2 (28)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 11 (40) 10 (33)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 6 (128) 12 (73)

Arkansas State vs. Northern Illinois Betting Insights

Arkansas State Stats and Trends

  • Arkansas State has covered six times in 12 games with a spread this season.
  • The Red Wolves have not covered the spread this season (0-0-1 ATS) when playing as at least 2.5-point favorites.
  • A total of six out of 12 Arkansas State games this season have hit the over.
  • The Red Wolves 12 games this season have gone over this contest’s total of 53.5 points seven times.
  • ASU’s contests this year have an average total of 54.9, 1.4 more points than this game’s over/under.

Northern Illinois Stats and Trends

  • Northern Illinois has compiled a 5-7-0 record against the spread this season.
  • The Huskies are 3-1 ATS this year when playing as at least 2.5-point underdogs.
  • Northern Illinois games have gone over the point total six out of 12 times this season.
  • The Huskies have played four games this season that finished with a point total above 53.5 points.
  • NIU’s games this season have had an average of 48.2 points, 5.3 fewer points than this game’s total.

Arkansas State Players to Watch

  • This year, Jaylen Raynor has racked up 2,293 passing yards (229.3 yards per game) while going 150-for-255 (58.8% completion percentage) and throwing 15 touchdowns and six interceptions. He has added 331 rushing yards on 110 carries with five touchdowns, averaging 33.1 yards per game.
  • Ja’Quez Cross has 120 carries for a team-high 688 rushing yards (57.3 per game) and seven touchdowns.
  • Zak Wallace has rushed for 556 yards on 121 carries (50.5 yards per game), with six touchdowns on the ground this year.
  • This season Courtney Jackson has 38 catches and leads the team with 658 yards (54.8 per game) while hauling in seven touchdowns.
  • Corey Rucker has contributed with 31 receptions for 598 yards.
  • Jeff Foreman has caught 24 passes for 488 yards and four touchdowns, averaging 48.8 yards per game this year.

Northern Illinois Players to Watch

  • Rocky Lombardi leads his team with 2,074 passing yards (172.8 per game) and has a 57.2% completion percentage (171-of-299), throwing 10 touchdown passes and five interceptions.
  • Antario Brown has rushed for a team-high 1,162 yards on 187 attempts (96.8 yards per game) and 10 touchdowns.
  • So far this year Gavin Williams has rushed for 448 yards on 86 carries (37.3 ypg), with three rushing touchdowns.
  • Trayvon Rudolph has racked up 46 receptions for 499 yards, best on his team, and two touchdowns. He averages 41.6 receiving yards per game.
  • Grayson Barnes has hauled in 18 catches for 317 yards (31.7 yards per game) and four touchdowns.
  • Kacper Rutkiewicz has caught 20 passes for 313 yards and two touchdowns, averaging 52.2 yards per game this year.

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