SMU vs. Boston College: Wasabi Fenway Bowl Betting Picks, Predictions and Tips – December 28, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on December 8, 2023

The SMU Mustangs are double-digit favorites (-11) in this season’s Wasabi Fenway Bowl, where they will oppose the Boston College Eagles. The game kicks off at 11:00 AM ET on December 28, 2023, airing on ESPN from Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts. An over/under of 50.5 points has been set for the outing.

Want to bet on SMU or Boston College in this matchup? Head to DraftKings Sportsbook to place your wager today!

SMU vs. Boston College Odds

Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
SMU -11 -110 -110 50.5 -112 -108

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Computer Pick

Computer picks for SMU vs Boston College
ATS Total Score prediction
SMU (-11) Over (50.5) SMU 37 Boston College 18

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Team Stat Comparison

SMU Boston College
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 40.6 (4) 25.0 (85)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 17.4 (15) 29.5 (91)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 9 (24) 15 (92)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 11 (87) 12 (73)

SMU vs. Boston College Betting Insights

SMU Stats and Trends

  • SMU has put together an 8-5-0 record against the spread this season.
  • The Mustangs have covered the spread seven times this season (7-2 ATS) when playing as at least 11-point favorites.
  • SMU and its opponent have combined to hit the over six out of 13 times this season.
  • In nine games this season, the Mustangs and their opponents have scored more than 50.5 total points.
  • SMU has an average total of 57.9 in their contests this year, 7.4 more points than this game’s over/under.

Boston College Stats and Trends

  • Boston College has compiled a 4-8-0 record against the spread this season.
  • The Eagles have covered the spread once this season (1-1 ATS) when playing as at least 11-point underdogs.
  • In Boston College’s 12 contests this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total nine times.
  • The Eagles have played nine games this season that finished with a combined score over 50.5 points.
  • The average over/under for BC’s matchups this season is 49.9, 0.6 fewer points than this game’s point total.

SMU Players to Watch

  • This year, Preston Stone has racked up 3,204 passing yards (267.0 yards per game) while going 206-for-344 (59.9% completion percentage) and throwing 28 touchdowns and six interceptions. He has added 198 rushing yards on 62 carries with four touchdowns, averaging 16.5 yards per game.
  • Jaylan Knighton has 128 carries for a team-high 720 rushing yards (65.5 per game) and seven touchdowns.
  • LJ Johnson Jr. has 544 yards on 101 carries (49.5 ypg), with three rushing touchdowns.
  • RJ Maryland has grabbed 34 passes for a team-high 518 yards with seven touchdowns. He averages 47.1 yards per game.
  • Jake Bailey has chipped in with 36 receptions for 474 yards.
  • Kelvontay Dixon has 420 receiving yards on 24 receptions, with four touchdowns, averaging 42.0 yards per game.

Boston College Players to Watch

  • Thomas Castellanos leads the team with 2,168 passing yards (180.7 yards per game) and has a 57.1% completion percentage this year (178-of-312) while throwing 15 touchdowns with 13 interceptions. He also has 957 rushing yards on 194 carries with 11 touchdowns, averaging 79.8 yards per game.
  • Kye Robichaux has 691 yards on 150 carries (69.1 ypg), with seven rushing touchdowns.
  • Lewis Bond has hauled in 48 receptions for 611 yards, best on his team, and seven touchdowns. He averages 50.9 receiving yards per game.
  • Joseph Griffin Jr. has contributed with 345 yards (on 25 catches) and one touchdown.
  • Dino Tomlin has caught 24 passes for 312 yards, averaging 34.7 yards per game this year.

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