Oregon vs. Liberty: Vrbo Fiesta Bowl Betting Picks, Predictions and Tips – January 1, 2024

Written By PlayPicks Staff on December 8, 2023

In this year’s Fiesta Bowl, the Oregon Ducks are huge favorites (-16.5) over the Liberty Flames. State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona will act as host on January 1, 2024, starting at 1:00 PM ETand airing on ESPN. The over/under is set at 66.5 in the contest.

Want to bet on Oregon or Liberty in this matchup? Head to DraftKings Sportsbook to place your wager today!

Oregon vs. Liberty Odds

Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Oregon -16.5 -112 -108 66.5 -110 -110

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Computer Pick

Computer picks for Oregon vs Liberty
ATS Total Score prediction
Liberty (+16.5) Under (66.5) Oregon 38 Liberty 23

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Team Stat Comparison

Oregon Liberty
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 44.2 (1) 40.8 (3)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 17.3 (14) 22.7 (53)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 5 (3) 9 (24)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 13 (61) 23 (1)

Oregon vs. Liberty Betting Insights

Oregon Stats and Trends

  • Oregon has won nine games against the spread this season, while failing to cover or pushing four times.
  • The Ducks have an ATS record of 6-2 when playing as at least 16.5-point favorites this season.
  • Oregon games have gone over the point total five out of 13 times this season.
  • The Ducks 13 games this season have gone over this contest’s total of 66.5 points four times.
  • The average point total in Oregon’s contests this year is 63.5, 3.0 fewer points than this game’s over/under.

Liberty Stats and Trends

  • Liberty is 9-4-0 ATS this season.
  • In Liberty’s 13 contests this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total eight times.
  • The Flames have played seven games this season that ended with a point total higher than 66.5 points.
  • LU’s games this season have had an average of 56.3 points, 10.2 fewer points than this game’s point total.

Oregon Players to Watch

  • Bo Nix leads his team with 4,145 passing yards (318.8 per game) and has a 77.2% completion percentage (336-of-435), throwing 40 touchdown passes and three interceptions. He also has 228 rushing yards on 53 carries (with six touchdowns), averaging 17.5 yards per game.
  • Mar’Keise Irving has taken 172 carries for a team-leading 1,063 rushing yards (81.8 yards per game) while scoring 10 touchdowns. He’s also caught 53 passes for 395 yards (30.4 receiving yards per game) with two touchdowns through the air.
  • Jordan James has rushed for 696 yards on 98 carries (53.5 yards per game), with 11 touchdowns on the ground this year.
  • This season Troy Franklin has 81 receptions for a team-high 1,383 receiving yards (106.4 per game) and 14 touchdowns.
  • Tez Johnson has tacked on 1,010 yards (on 75 catches) and nine touchdowns.
  • Gary Bryant has racked up 397 yards on 27 receptions with three touchdowns, averaging 36.1 yards per game.

Liberty Players to Watch

  • This year, Kaidon Salter has put up 2,750 passing yards (211.5 yards per game) while going 162-for-266 (60.9% completion percentage) and throwing 31 touchdowns and five interceptions. He has tacked on 1,064 rushing yards on 153 carries with 12 touchdowns, averaging 81.8 yards per game.
  • Quinton Cooley has rushed for a team-leading 1,322 yards on 213 carries (101.7 yards per game) while scoring 16 touchdowns.
  • C.J. Daniels has hauled in 47 receptions for 988 yards, best on his team, and 10 touchdowns. He averages 76.0 receiving yards per game.
  • Treon Sibley has hauled in 22 catches for 459 yards (51.0 yards per game) and four touchdowns.
  • Noah Frith has totaled 323 yards on 17 receptions with three touchdowns, averaging 32.3 yards per game.

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