Florida State vs. Duke: College Football Betting Picks, Predictions and Tips – October 21, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on October 15, 2023

The No. 4 Florida State Seminoles (6-0) will have their seventh-ranked scoring attack go up against the No. 16 Duke Blue Devils (5-1), with the No. 51 scoring defense in the nation, on Saturday, October 21, 2023. The Seminoles are heavily favored, by 14 points. The over/under for the outing is 48.5 points.

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Florida State vs. Duke Odds

Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Florida State -14 -115 -105 48.5 -110 -110

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Computer Pick

Computer picks for Florida State vs Duke
ATS Total Score prediction
Duke (+14) Over (48.5) Florida State 27 Duke 23

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Team Stat Comparison

Florida State Duke
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 42.2 (16) 31.2 (67)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 18.3 (18) 9.8 (4)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 3 (6) 4 (11)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 6 (98) 7 (80)

Florida State vs. Duke Betting Insights

Florida State Stats and Trends

  • Florida State has compiled a 4-2-0 ATS record so far this year.
  • The Seminoles have been favored by 14 points or more four times this season, and covered the spread in two of those games.
  • In Florida State’s six games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total four times.
  • Noles games this season have gone over this contest’s total of 48.5 points five times.
  • The average total in FSU’s contests this year is 53.5, 5.0 more than this matchup’s over/under.

Duke Stats and Trends

  • Duke is 4-2-0 ATS this season.
  • This year, games featuring Duke have hit the over twice.
  • The Devils and their opponents have combined to score more than 48.5 points twice this season.
  • Duke’s outings this season have a 48.8-point average over/under, 0.3 more points than this game’s total.

Florida State Players to Watch

  • Jordan Travis has passed for 1,472 yards while completing 63.7% of his throws (116-of-182), with 13 touchdowns and one interception (245.3 yards per game). He’s also rushed 40 times for 114 yards and four touchdowns, averaging 19 yards per game.
  • Trey Benson has run for a team-leading 493 yards on 67 carries (82.2 yards per game) while scoring six touchdowns. He also averages 16.5 receiving yards per game, grabbing 10 passes for 99 yards.
  • Lawrance Toafili has rushed for 228 yards on 32 carries (38 yards per game), with two touchdowns on the ground this year. He also has 12 catches for 92 yards (15.3 per game).
  • This season Keon Coleman has 29 receptions for a team-high 418 receiving yards (69.7 per game) and seven touchdowns.
  • Johnny Wilson has also contributed with 20 catches for 357 yards and two touchdowns this year. He averages 89.3 receiving yards per game.
  • This season Jaheim Bell has caught 14 passes for 238 yards and two touchdowns, averaging 59.5 receiving yards per game.

Duke Players to Watch

  • This year, Riley Leonard has put up 912 passing yards (182.4 yards per game) while going 79-for-126 (62.7% completion percentage) and throwing three touchdowns and one interception. He has added 326 rushing yards on 47 carries with four touchdowns, averaging 65.2 yards per game.
  • Jordan Waters has taken 65 attempts for a team-leading 426 rushing yards (71 yards per game) while scoring nine touchdowns.
  • This season Jalon Calhoun has 24 receptions for a team-high 368 receiving yards (61.3 per game) and two touchdowns.
  • Jordan Moore has added 25 catches for 322 yards and three touchdowns this year. He puts up 53.7 receiving yards per game.
  • Sahmir Hagans has caught 14 passes for 125 yards, averaging 25 yards per game this year.

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