A pair of Big 12 teams meet when the Kansas State Wildcats (4-2) take on the TCU Horned Frogs (4-3) on Saturday, October 21, 2023 at Bill Snyder Family Stadium. The Wildcats are favored by 5.5 points. The over/under in this contest is 59.5 points.
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Kansas State vs. TCU Odds
| Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas State | -5.5 | -108 | -112 | 59.5 | -110 | -110 |
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Computer Pick
| ATS | Total | Score prediction |
|---|---|---|
| Kansas State (-5.5) | Under (59.5) | Kansas State 32 TCU 25 |
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Team Stat Comparison
| Kansas State | TCU | |
|---|---|---|
| Off. Points per Game (Rank) | 36.2 (40) | 33.1 (27) |
| Def. Points per Game (Rank) | 20.7 (25) | 20.4 (49) |
| Turnovers Allowed (Rank) | 7 (47) | 12 (117) |
| Turnovers Forced (Rank) | 7 (80) | 8 (60) |
Kansas State vs. TCU Betting Insights
Kansas State Stats and Trends
- Kansas State has won four games against the spread this season, while failing to cover twice.
- The Wildcats are 3-1 ATS this season when playing as at least 5.5-point favorites.
- Kansas State games have hit the over four out of six times this season.
- So far this season, one of the Cats contests has gone over 59.5 points.
- K-State has an average total of 52.9 in their contests this year, 6.6 fewer points than this game’s over/under.
Recent Head-to-Head Matchups
In the last four matchups between these two squads, Kansas State has a 3-1 advantage over TCU. The Wildcats are 3-1 against the spread in those games against the Horned Frogs while the two teams have gone over the point total on one occasion. Kansas State outscored TCU 111-92 in those four head-to-head matchups.
TCU Stats and Trends
- TCU has compiled a 3-4-0 ATS record so far this season.
- This season, games featuring TCU have gone over the point total twice.
- The Frogs have combined with their opponent to score more than 59.5 points only once this season.
- The average over/under for TCU’s outings this season is 57.9, 1.6 fewer points than this game’s point total.
Kansas State Players to Watch
- Will Howard leads the team with 1,310 passing yards (218.3 yards per game) and has a 61.5% completion percentage this year (112-of-182) while throwing nine touchdowns with seven interceptions. He also has 227 rushing yards on 41 carries with six touchdowns, averaging 37.8 yards per game.
- DJ Giddens has run for a team-high 541 yards on 94 carries (90.2 yards per game) and four touchdowns. He also has 140 receiving yards on 17 catches (23.3 yards per game) .
- Treshaun Ward has run for 345 yards on 61 carries (69.0 yards per game), with two touchdowns on the ground this year.
- Ben Sinnott has grabbed 26 passes for a team-best 358 yards while scoring three touchdowns. He averages 59.7 yards per game.
- Phillip Brooks III has hauled in 31 catches for 323 yards (53.8 yards per game) and two touchdowns.
- Jadon Jackson has caught 15 passes for 191 yards and two touchdowns, averaging 31.8 yards per game this year.
TCU Players to Watch
- Chandler Morris leads the team with 1,509 passing yards (251.5 yards per game) and has a 65.7% completion percentage this year (130-of-198) while throwing 12 touchdowns with five interceptions. He also has 249 rushing yards on 45 carries with three touchdowns, averaging 41.5 yards per game.
- Emani Bailey has taken 134 attempts for a team-leading 751 rushing yards (107.3 yards per game) while scoring two touchdowns.
- John Paul Richardson has racked up 27 receptions for 399 yards, best on his team, and two touchdowns. He averages 57.0 receiving yards per game.
- Warren Thompson has contributed with 232 yards (on 17 catches) and two touchdowns.
- Savion Williams has caught 17 passes for 213 yards and three touchdowns, averaging 35.5 yards per game this year.
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