Ohio State vs. Penn State: College Football Betting Picks, Predictions and Tips – October 21, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on October 15, 2023

The No. 3 Ohio State Buckeyes (6-0), with the 23rd-ranked run defense in the country, will host the No. 7 Penn State Nittany Lions (6-0) and the 15th-ranked rushing attack, on Saturday, October 21, 2023. The Nittany Lions are 4-point underdogs. The over/under for the outing is 46.5 points.

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Ohio State vs. Penn State Odds

Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Ohio State -4 -112 -108 46.5 -110 -110

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Computer Pick

Computer picks for Ohio State vs Penn State
ATS Total Score prediction
Ohio State (-4) Over (46.5) Ohio State 26 Penn State 22

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Team Stat Comparison

Ohio State Penn State
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 36.0 (41) 44.3 (10)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 9.7 (3) 8.0 (2)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 3 (6) 1 (1)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 7 (80) 13 (6)

Ohio State vs. Penn State Betting Insights

Ohio State Stats and Trends

  • Ohio State has put together a 3-2-1 record against the spread this season.
  • The Buckeyes are 3-2 ATS this season when playing as at least 4-point favorites.
  • Ohio State games have hit the over just once this season.
  • The Buckeyes and their opponents have gone over 46.5 combined points in three of six games this season.
  • OSU’s games this year have an average point total of 57.8, 11.3 more points than this matchup’s over/under.

Recent Head-to-Head Matchups

In the last three matchups between these two squads, Ohio State has a 3-0 advantage over Penn State. The Nittany Lions are 2-1 against the spread in those games against the Buckeyes while the two teams have gone over the point total on one occasion. Ohio State put up 115 points in those three matchups compared to Penn State’s 80.

Penn State Stats and Trends

  • Penn State has covered six times in six matchups with a spread this year.
  • Penn State and its opponent have combined to go over the point total four out of six times this year.
  • Lions games this season have had a combined scoring total higher than 46.5 points in four of six outings.
  • The average total for PSU games this season has been 48.9, 2.4 more points than this matchup’s over/under.

Ohio State Players to Watch

  • Kyle McCord leads the team with 1,651 passing yards (275.2 yards per game) and has a 64.1% completion percentage this year (109-of-170) while throwing 11 touchdowns with one interception.
  • TreVeyon Henderson has taken 44 attempts for a team-leading 295 rushing yards (73.8 yards per game) while scoring five touchdowns.
  • DeaMonte Trayanum has 235 yards on 51 carries (39.2 ypg), with three rushing touchdowns.
  • Marvin Harrison Jr. has hauled in 31 receptions for 604 yards, best on his team, and five touchdowns. He averages 100.7 receiving yards per game.
  • Cade Stover has also chipped in with 23 receptions for 359 yards and three touchdowns.
  • Emeka Egbuka has totaled 303 yards on 22 receptions with three touchdowns, averaging 60.6 yards per game.

Penn State Players to Watch

  • Drew Allar has passed for 1,254 yards while completing 65.2% of his throws (118-of-181), with 12 touchdowns and zero interceptions (209.0 yards per game). He’s also rushed 34 times for 79 yards and three touchdowns, averaging 13.2 yards per game.
  • Kaytron Allen has run for a team-high 375 yards on 78 carries (62.5 yards per game) and three touchdowns.
  • Nicholas Singleton has 362 yards on 89 carries (60.3 ypg), with six rushing touchdowns. He also has 13 catches for 111 yards (18.5 ypg) and one touchdown.
  • This season Keandre Lambert has 31 catches and leads the team with 402 yards (67.0 per game) while hauling in three touchdowns.
  • Theo Johnson has also tacked on 16 catches for 167 yards and two touchdowns this year. He puts up 33.4 receiving yards per game.
  • This season Harrison Wallace III has caught 13 passes for 142 yards, averaging 47.3 receiving yards per game.

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