Louisville vs. Pittsburgh: College Football Betting Picks, Predictions and Tips – October 14, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on October 8, 2023

The No. 14 Louisville Cardinals (6-0) will face off against a fellow ACC opponent, the Pittsburgh Panthers (1-4) in a matchup on Saturday, October 14, 2023 at Acrisure Stadium. The Cardinals are considerable favorites in this one, with the spread sitting at 7 points. The over/under is set at 44.5 in the contest.

Want to bet on Louisville or Pittsburgh in this matchup? Head to DraftKings Sportsbook to place your wager today!

Louisville vs. Pittsburgh Odds

Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Louisville -7 -110 -110 44.5 -110 -110

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Computer Pick

Computer picks for Louisville vs Pittsburgh
ATS Total Score prediction
Louisville (-7) Over (44.5) Louisville 36 Pittsburgh 15

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Team Stat Comparison

Louisville Pittsburgh
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 36.3 (16) 23.4 (113)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 17.7 (29) 26.0 (52)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 7 (55) 8 (75)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 12 (8) 4 (117)

Louisville vs. Pittsburgh Betting Insights

Louisville Stats and Trends

  • Louisville is 3-2-1 ATS this season.
  • The Cardinals have been favored by 7 points or more four times this season, and covered the spread in two of those contests.
  • In Louisville’s six games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total three times.
  • In four of six games this season, the Cards and their opponents have scored more than 44.5 points.
  • Louisville’s matchups this year have an average point total of 53.2, 8.7 more points than this game’s over/under.

Recent Head-to-Head Matchups

Pittsburgh and Louisville have split their last two matchups 1-1. The Cardinals and Panthers have split those games 1-1 against the spread while not outscoring the point total once. Louisville outscored Pittsburgh 44-33 in those two head-to-head matchups.

Pittsburgh Stats and Trends

  • Pittsburgh has won just one game against the spread this year.
  • The Panthers have not covered the spread this year (0-1 ATS) when playing as at least 7-point underdogs.
  • Pittsburgh games have gone over the point total four out of five times this year.
  • The Panthers have played four games this season that ended with a combined score over 44.5 points.
  • Pitt’s matchups this season have a 46.2-point average over/under, 1.7 more points than this game’s total.

Louisville Players to Watch

  • This year, Jack Plummer has put up 1,551 passing yards (258.5 yards per game) while going 103-for-156 (66% completion percentage) and throwing 12 touchdowns and six interceptions. He has added 67 rushing yards on 40 carries with one touchdown, averaging 11.2 yards per game.
  • Jawhar Jordan has 87 attempts for a team-high 653 rushing yards (108.8 per game) and eight touchdowns. He also has nine catches for 168 receiving yards (28.0 per game) and one touchdown.
  • So far this year Isaac Guerendo has rushed for 169 yards on 39 carries (28.2 ypg), with one rushing touchdown. Guerendo also helps out in the passing game, catching nine passes for 102 yards (17.0 ypg).
  • Jamari Thrash has 30 catches and paces his team with 519 receiving yards (86.5 ypg) while scoring six touchdowns.
  • Ahmari Huggins-Bruce has also contributed with 14 catches for 207 yards and two touchdowns this year. He averages 34.5 receiving yards per game.
  • Chris Bell has 175 receiving yards on seven receptions, with one touchdown, averaging 43.8 yards per game.

Pittsburgh Players to Watch

  • Phil Jurkovec leads his team with 818 passing yards (163.6 per game) and has a 50.9% completion percentage (57-of-112), throwing six touchdown passes and three interceptions. He also has 59 rushing yards on 38 carries (with one touchdown), averaging 11.8 yards per game.
  • Rodney Hammond Jr. has taken 46 carries for a team-leading 196 rushing yards (39.2 yards per game) while scoring three touchdowns.
  • So far this year C’Bo Flemister has rushed for 150 yards on 32 carries (30.0 ypg). Flemister also makes an impact in the passing game, catching five passes for 92 yards (18.4 ypg) while scoring one touchdown.
  • Gavin Bartholomew has grabbed 12 passes for a team-high 258 yards while scoring one touchdown. He averages 51.6 yards per game.
  • Konata Mumpfield has also chipped in with 20 receptions for 240 yards and two touchdowns.
  • Jerrod Means is averaging 36.5 yards per game, racking up seven receptions for 146 yards and one touchdown.

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