The Toledo Rockets (5-1) will meet their MAC-rival, the Ball State Cardinals (1-5) in a matchup on Saturday, October 14, 2023 at Scheumann Stadium. The Cardinals will need a complete game to pull off an upset, they are currently 17.5-point underdogs. The over/under is 48.5 in the outing.
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Toledo vs. Ball State Odds
| Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toledo | -17.5 | -110 | -110 | 48.5 | -110 | -110 |
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Computer Pick
| ATS | Total | Score prediction |
|---|---|---|
| No Pick | Over (48.5) | Toledo 37 Ball State 19 |
*The computer pick’s projected margin of victory for the favorite in this matchup is equal to the current spread.
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Team Stat Comparison
| Toledo | Ball State | |
|---|---|---|
| Off. Points per Game (Rank) | 40.8 (8) | 16.5 (126) |
| Def. Points per Game (Rank) | 23.0 (60) | 33.7 (117) |
| Turnovers Allowed (Rank) | 10 (101) | 9 (88) |
| Turnovers Forced (Rank) | 10 (22) | 5 (102) |
Toledo vs. Ball State Betting Insights
Toledo Stats and Trends
- Toledo has a record of 2-4-0 against the spread this season.
- The Rockets have covered the spread once this season (1-2 ATS) when playing as at least 17.5-point favorites.
- Toledo and its opponent have combined to go over the point total five out of six times this season.
- In five of six games this season, the Rockets and their opponents have gone over 48.5 points.
- Toledo’s contests this year have an average total of 53.5, 5.0 more points than this matchup’s over/under.
Recent Head-to-Head Matchups
Toledo has an edge against Ball State in the last three matchups between these two squads, putting together a 2-1 record in those games. In those games against the Rockets, the Cardinals have a 2-1 record against the spread while not eclipsing the total once. Toledo totaled 74 points in those three matchups compared to Ball State’s 60.
Ball State Stats and Trends
- Ball State has covered just once in six chances against the spread this season.
- The Cardinals have been an underdog by 17.5 points or more this year twice, and failed to cover both times.
- So far this year, three of Ball State’s six games with a set number have hit the over.
- The Cardinals have combined with their opponent to score more than 48.5 points in three of six games this season.
- Ball State’s contests this season have a 49.9-point average over/under, 1.4 more points than this game’s point total.
Toledo Players to Watch
- DeQuan Finn leads the team with 1,093 passing yards (182.2 yards per game) and has a 66.2% completion percentage this year (88-of-133) while throwing 12 touchdowns with five interceptions. He also has 413 rushing yards on 62 carries with four touchdowns, averaging 68.8 yards per game.
- Peny Boone has run for a team-high 644 yards on 85 attempts (107.3 yards per game) and seven touchdowns.
- This season Junior Vandeross III has 21 receptions for a team-high 328 receiving yards (54.7 per game) and one touchdown.
- Jerjuan Newton’s stat line this year shows 22 catches for 303 yards and nine touchdowns. He averages 50.5 receiving yards per game.
- Larry Stephens has 137 receiving yards on 12 receptions, with two touchdowns, averaging 27.4 yards per game.
Ball State Players to Watch
- This season, Layne Hatcher has collected 566 passing yards (113.2 yards per game) while completing 62 of 95 passes (65.3% completion percentage), with four touchdowns and zero interceptions.
- Marquez Cooper has rushed for a team-high 362 yards on 79 attempts (60.3 yards per game) and one touchdown. He also has 129 receiving yards on 13 catches (21.5 yards per game) .
- Kiael Kelly has 181 yards on 32 carries (30.2 ypg).
- Qian Magwood has racked up 27 receptions for 260 yards, best on his team, and one touchdown. He averages 43.3 receiving yards per game.
- Tanner Koziol has tacked on 217 yards (on 26 catches) and two touchdowns.
- This season Ahmad Edwards has caught 13 passes for 174 yards and one touchdown, averaging 34.8 receiving yards per game.
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