The Heartland Trophy is the prize when the Wisconsin Badgers (4-1) and Iowa Hawkeyes (5-1) square off on Saturday, October 14, 2023 at Camp Randall Stadium. The Badgers are favorites, by 9.5 points. The over/under is 35 in the contest.
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Wisconsin vs. Iowa Odds
| Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wisconsin | -9.5 | -110 | -110 | 35 | -110 | -110 |
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Computer Pick
| ATS | Total | Score prediction |
|---|---|---|
| Wisconsin (-9.5) | Over (35) | Wisconsin 29 Iowa 15 |
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Team Stat Comparison
| Wisconsin | Iowa | |
|---|---|---|
| Off. Points per Game (Rank) | 31.4 (77) | 21.8 (105) |
| Def. Points per Game (Rank) | 18.4 (17) | 16.3 (20) |
| Turnovers Allowed (Rank) | 6 (38) | 10 (101) |
| Turnovers Forced (Rank) | 10 (22) | 9 (34) |
Wisconsin vs. Iowa Betting Insights
Wisconsin Stats and Trends
- Wisconsin has covered twice in four chances against the spread this season.
- The Badgers have covered the spread once when favored by 9.5 points or more this season (in two opportunities).
- This season, games featuring the Wisconsin have gone over the point total twice.
- Badgers games this season have featured more combined points than this contest’s total of 35 points four times.
- Wisconsin’s contests this year have an average total of 57.5, 22.5 more points than this game’s over/under.
Recent Head-to-Head Matchups
Iowa has an edge against Wisconsin in the last three matchups between these two teams, collecting a 2-1 record in those games. The Badgers have a 2-1 record against the spread in those games against the Hawkeyes, with the two squads not outpacing the point total once. Iowa outscored Wisconsin 59-44 in those three head-to-head matchups.
Iowa Stats and Trends
- Iowa has put together a 3-2-1 record against the spread this season.
- The Hawkeyes have been an underdog by 9.5 points or more this year once, and failed to cover the spread.
- This year, games featuring Iowa have gone over the point total twice.
- The Hawkeyes have played three games this season that finished with a combined score higher than 35 points.
- Iowa’s games this year have had a 39.2-point total on average, 4.2 more points than this matchup’s over/under.
Wisconsin Players to Watch
- Tanner Mordecai has passed for 1,022 yards while completing 64.2% of his throws (102-of-159), with three touchdowns and three interceptions (204.4 yards per game). He’s also rushed 47 times for 153 yards and four touchdowns, averaging 30.6 yards per game.
- Braelon Allen has churned out a team-best 472 rushing yards (94.4 per game) and seven touchdowns.
- Chez Mellusi has 306 yards on 51 carries (76.5 ypg), with four rushing touchdowns.
- Will Pauling has 22 catches and paces his team with 243 receiving yards (48.6 ypg).
- Chimere Dike has added 228 yards on 11 catches and one touchdown. He puts up 57.0 receiving yards per game this year.
- Bryson Green is averaging 29.5 yards per game, racking up 10 receptions for 118 yards.
Iowa Players to Watch
- Cade McNamara has thrown for 505 yards while completing 51.1% of his passes (46-of-90), with four touchdowns and three interceptions this year (101.0 yards per game).
- Leshon Williams has rushed for a team-high 285 yards on 50 attempts (47.5 yards per game) and zero touchdowns.
- Kaleb Johnson has 225 yards on 51 carries (75.0 ypg), with two rushing touchdowns.
- Erick All has 19 catches and paces his team with 280 receiving yards (46.7 ypg) while scoring three touchdowns.
- Luke Lachey has added 10 receptions for 131 yards.
- Seth Anderson has totaled 79 yards on five receptions with one touchdown, averaging 15.8 yards per game.
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