The UMass Minutemen (1-6) will look to upset the No. 6 Penn State Nittany Lions (5-0) on Saturday, October 14, 2023 at Beaver Stadium. The Nittany Lions are without a doubt the favorites in this one, with the line sitting at 42 points. The over/under in this contest is 55 points.
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Penn State vs. UMass Odds
| Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penn State | -42 | -110 | -110 | 55 | -110 | -110 |
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Computer Pick
| ATS | Total | Score prediction |
|---|---|---|
| Penn State (-42) | Over (55) | Penn State 52 UMass 4 |
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Team Stat Comparison
| Penn State | UMass | |
|---|---|---|
| Off. Points per Game (Rank) | 40.6 (30) | 26.1 (52) |
| Def. Points per Game (Rank) | 9.6 (2) | 39.4 (133) |
| Turnovers Allowed (Rank) | 1 (1) | 10 (101) |
| Turnovers Forced (Rank) | 12 (8) | 7 (67) |
Penn State vs. UMass Betting Insights
Penn State Stats and Trends
- Penn State has covered in each of its five games with a spread this season.
- The Nittany Lions have won their only game this season when playing as at least 42-point favorites.
- Penn State and its opponent have combined to go over the point total three out of five times this season.
- Lions games have gone over 55 points only once this season (in five outings).
- PSU’s games this season have had an average of 47.7 points, 7.3 fewer than this matchup’s over/under.
UMass Stats and Trends
- UMass has put together a 3-4-0 record against the spread this season.
- UMass and its opponent have combined to go over the point total six out of seven times this year.
- Minutemen games this season have had a combined scoring total higher than 55 points in six of seven outings.
- The average total for UMass’ games this season is 50.1 points, 4.9 fewer points than this game’s over/under.
Penn State Players to Watch
- This year, Drew Allar has racked up 1,092 passing yards (218.4 yards per game) while going 102-for-158 (64.6% completion percentage) and throwing nine touchdowns and zero interceptions. He has added 78 rushing yards on 31 carries with two touchdowns, averaging 15.6 yards per game.
- Kaytron Allen has run for a team-leading 307 yards on 69 attempts (61.4 yards per game) while scoring two touchdowns.
- Nicholas Singleton has put up 283 rushing yards on 74 carries (56.6 yards per game), with six touchdowns on the ground this season. He also has 13 catches for 111 yards (22.2 per game) and one touchdown.
- This season Keandre Lambert has 25 catches and leads the team with 372 yards (74.4 per game) while scoring three touchdowns.
- Tyler Warren has tacked on 115 yards (on 14 catches) and four touchdowns.
UMass Players to Watch
- Carlos Davis leads his team with 886 passing yards (221.5 per game) and has a 61.4% completion percentage (62-of-101), throwing six touchdown passes and three interceptions.
- Kay’Ron Adams has run for a team-leading 661 yards on 130 attempts (94.4 yards per game) while scoring six touchdowns.
- So far this year Gregory DeRosiers has rushed for 107 yards on 18 carries (15.3 ypg), with one rushing touchdown. DeRosiers also helps out in the passing game, catching 12 passes for 148 yards (21.1 ypg) while scoring two touchdowns.
- This season Anthony Simpson has 33 receptions for a team-high 566 receiving yards (80.9 per game) and three touchdowns.
- Mark Pope has added 272 yards (on 20 catches) and one touchdown.
- George Johnson is averaging 37.4 yards per game, racking up 20 receptions for 262 yards and two touchdowns.
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