Notre Dame vs. USC: College Football Betting Picks, Predictions and Tips – October 14, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on October 8, 2023

The No. 10 USC Trojans (6-0) and their third-ranked passing attack will take the field against the No. 21 Notre Dame Fighting Irish (5-2) and the third-ranked passing D on Saturday, October 14, 2023. The Fighting Irish are favored by 3 points. An over/under of 60.5 points has been set for the outing.

Want to bet on Notre Dame or USC in this matchup? Head to DraftKings Sportsbook to place your wager today!

Notre Dame vs. USC Odds

Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Notre Dame -3 -110 -110 60.5 -110 -110

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Computer Pick

Computer picks for Notre Dame vs USC
ATS Total Score prediction
Notre Dame (-3) Over (60.5) Notre Dame 36 USC 28

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Team Stat Comparison

Notre Dame USC
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 34.1 (11) 51.8 (1)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 15.9 (33) 27 (83)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 5 (20) 2 (3)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 7 (67) 8 (49)

Notre Dame vs. USC Betting Insights

Notre Dame Stats and Trends

  • Notre Dame has won four games against the spread this season, while failing to cover or pushing three times.
  • The Fighting Irish have covered the spread four times this season (4-2 ATS) when playing as at least 3-point favorites.
  • Notre Dame games have gone over the point total three out of seven times this season.
  • Just one of the Irish seven contests has gone over 60.5 points.
  • Notre Dame’s games this season have had an average of 52.4 points, 8.1 fewer than this matchup’s over/under.

Recent Head-to-Head Matchups

In the last two matchups between these two teams, USC and Notre Dame have an even 1-1 record. The Fighting Irish and Trojans have a split 1-1 record against the spread in those games with the two squads outpacing the total on one occasion. Notre Dame has had the upper hand scoring in those two matchups, totaling 58 points while USC scored 54.

USC Stats and Trends

  • USC has won two games against the spread this year.
  • So far this year, five of USC’s six games with a set number have gone over the point total.
  • The Trojans have combined with their opponents to score more than 60.5 points in all six games this season.
  • The average total for Southern Cal games this season has been 67.6, 7.1 more points than this matchup’s over/under.

Notre Dame Players to Watch

  • This year, Sam Hartman has collected 1,712 passing yards (244.6 yards per game) while going 118-for-183 (64.5% completion percentage) and throwing 16 touchdowns and three interceptions.
  • Audric Estime has run for a team-leading 692 yards on 105 attempts (98.9 yards per game) while scoring seven touchdowns.
  • Jeremiyah Love has rushed for 257 yards on 36 carries (36.7 yards per game), with one touchdown on the ground this year.
  • Mitchell Evans has reeled in 22 passes for a team-best 343 yards while scoring one touchdown. He averages 68.6 yards per game.
  • Chris Tyree has contributed with 293 yards on 14 catches and two touchdowns. He puts up 41.9 receiving yards per game this year.
  • Jayden Thomas has caught 15 passes for 228 yards and one touchdown, averaging 38 yards per game this year.

USC Players to Watch

  • Caleb Williams has passed for 1,822 yards while completing 71.3% of his throws (119-of-167), with 22 touchdowns and one interception (303.7 yards per game). He’s also rushed 38 times for 124 yards and six touchdowns, averaging 20.7 yards per game.
  • Marshawn Lloyd has taken 67 carries for a team-leading 519 rushing yards (86.5 yards per game) while scoring four touchdowns.
  • Austin Jones has 163 yards on 25 carries (27.2 ypg), with four rushing touchdowns.
  • Tahj Washington has 21 catches and paces his team with 456 receiving yards (76 ypg) while scoring five touchdowns.
  • Brenden Rice has added 434 yards (on 21 catches) and seven touchdowns.
  • This season Mario Williams is averaging 34.3 yards per game, with 17 catches for 206 yards and one touchdown.

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