The No. 11 Alabama Crimson Tide (5-1) will face off against the Arkansas Razorbacks (2-4) in SEC action on Saturday, October 14, 2023 at Bryant-Denny Stadium. The Razorbacks are currently heavy, 19.5-point underdogs. The over/under is 45.5 in the contest.
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Alabama vs. Arkansas Odds
| Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama | -19.5 | -110 | -110 | 45.5 | -110 | -110 |
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Computer Pick
| ATS | Total | Score prediction |
|---|---|---|
| Alabama (-19.5) | Over (45.5) | Alabama 36 Arkansas 15 |
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Team Stat Comparison
| Alabama | Arkansas | |
|---|---|---|
| Off. Points per Game (Rank) | 31.2 (48) | 31.3 (45) |
| Def. Points per Game (Rank) | 15.2 (15) | 25.3 (75) |
| Turnovers Allowed (Rank) | 5 (20) | 7 (55) |
| Turnovers Forced (Rank) | 9 (34) | 11 (14) |
Alabama vs. Arkansas Betting Insights
Alabama Stats and Trends
- Alabama has won four games against the spread this season, while failing to cover twice.
- The Crimson Tide have been favored by 19.5 points or more two times this season, and covered the spread in one of those games.
- A total of four out of six Alabama games this season have hit the over.
- In four games this season, the Tide and their opponents have scored more than 45.5 combined points.
- The average point total in Bama’s contests this year is 52.3, 6.8 more points than this game’s over/under.
Recent Head-to-Head Matchups
Alabama holds a 3-0 advantage over Arkansas in the past three matchups between these two teams. In those games against the Razorbacks, the Crimson Tide have a 2-1 record against the spread with those games outscoring the total on two occasions. Alabama totaled 143 points in those three matchups compared to Arkansas’ 64.
Arkansas Stats and Trends
- Arkansas has put together a 3-3-0 ATS record so far this season.
- So far this year, four of Arkansas’ six games with a set number have gone over the point total.
- The Hogs and their opponents have combined to score more than 45.5 points in five of six games this season.
- Arkansas’ games this year have had a 56.2-point total on average, 10.7 more points than this matchup’s over/under.
Alabama Players to Watch
- Jalen Milroe has thrown for 1,159 yards while completing 67.6% of his passes (75-of-111), with nine touchdowns and four interceptions this year (231.8 yards per game). He’s also carried the ball 57 times for 158 yards and four touchdowns, averaging 31.6 yards per game.
- Jase McClellan has taken 79 carries for a team-leading 371 rushing yards (61.8 yards per game) while scoring three touchdowns.
- Roydell Williams has 251 yards on 54 carries (41.8 ypg), with one rushing touchdown.
- Jermaine Burton has 17 catches and paces his team with 386 receiving yards (77.2 ypg) while scoring four touchdowns.
- Isaiah Bond’s stat line this year shows 19 catches for 275 yards and two touchdowns. He averages 45.8 receiving yards per game.
- This season Amari Niblack is averaging 34.0 yards per game, with nine catches for 170 yards and two touchdowns.
Arkansas Players to Watch
- K.J. Jefferson has passed for 1,300 yards while completing 67.1% of his throws (110-of-164), with 12 touchdowns and six interceptions (216.7 yards per game). He’s also rushed 82 times for 136 yards and one touchdown, averaging 22.7 yards per game.
- AJ Green has taken 32 carries for a team-leading 195 rushing yards (32.5 yards per game) while scoring two touchdowns.
- Rashod Dubinion has run for 187 yards on 51 carries (31.2 yards per game), with one touchdown on the ground this year.
- Andrew Armstrong has hauled in 35 receptions for 437 yards, best on his team, and four touchdowns. He averages 72.8 receiving yards per game.
- Luke Hasz has tacked on 253 yards on 16 catches and three touchdowns. He puts up 50.6 receiving yards per game this year.
- Isaac TeSlaa has caught 15 passes for 181 yards and one touchdown, averaging 30.2 yards per game this year.
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