LSU vs. Auburn: College Football Betting Picks, Predictions and Tips – October 14, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on October 8, 2023

The Auburn Tigers (3-2) and the 25th-ranked scoring D in the country will visit the No. 22 LSU Tigers (4-2) and the fifth-ranked scoring offense on Saturday, October 14, 2023. The Auburn Tigers are major, 11-point underdogs. The over/under in this contest is 60.5 points.

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LSU vs. Auburn Odds

Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
LSU -11 -110 -110 60.5 -110 -110

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Computer Pick

Computer picks for LSU vs Auburn
ATS Total Score prediction
Auburn (+11) Over (60.5) LSU 35 Auburn 26

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Team Stat Comparison

LSU Auburn
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 44.8 (3) 29.6 (89)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 32.3 (113) 18.2 (15)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 4 (13) 8 (75)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 6 (91) 10 (22)

LSU vs. Auburn Betting Insights

LSU Stats and Trends

  • LSU has won three games against the spread this season, while failing to cover three times.
  • The LSU Tigers have covered the spread once this season (1-1 ATS) when playing as at least 11-point favorites.
  • All LSU games have hit the over this season.
  • The Tigers and their opponents have gone over 60.5 combined points in five of six games this season.
  • The average total in LSU’s games this season is 59.7, 0.8 points fewer than this matchup’s over/under.

Recent Head-to-Head Matchups

Auburn holds a 2-1 advantage over LSU in the last three matchups between these two teams. The Auburn Tigers have a 3-0 record against the spread in those games against the LSU Tigers, with the two squads not outscoring the total once. Auburn has had the upper hand scoring in those three matchups, totaling 89 points while LSU notched 51.

Auburn Stats and Trends

  • Auburn has covered twice in five games with a spread this year.
  • The Auburn Tigers have won their only game this season when playing as at least 11-point underdogs.
  • So far this season, two Auburn games have gone over the point total.
  • The Tigers have combined with their opponent to score more than 60.5 points only once this season.
  • War Eagle has had an average of 52.9 points scored in their games so far this season, 7.6 points fewer than this game’s over/under.

LSU Players to Watch

  • Jayden Daniels has thrown for 1,970 yards while completing 72.9% of his passes (132-of-181), with 19 touchdowns and two interceptions this year (328.3 yards per game). He’s also carried the ball 75 times for 422 yards and four touchdowns, averaging 70.3 yards per game.
  • Logan Diggs has 81 carries for a team-high 488 rushing yards (97.6 per game) and four touchdowns.
  • Malik Nabers has reeled in 46 passes for a team-high 771 yards with six touchdowns. He averages 128.5 yards per game.
  • Brian Thomas Jr. has tacked on 603 yards on 37 catches and nine touchdowns. He averages 100.5 receiving yards per game this year.
  • Kyren Lacy is averaging 42.5 yards per game, racking up nine receptions for 170 yards and two touchdowns.

Auburn Players to Watch

  • Payton Thorne leads the team with 643 passing yards (128.6 yards per game) and has a 62.8% completion percentage this year (59-of-94) while throwing four touchdowns with four interceptions. He also has 198 rushing yards on 45 carries with two touchdowns, averaging 39.6 yards per game.
  • Jarquez Hunter has rushed for a team-high 202 yards on 50 attempts (50.5 yards per game) and two touchdowns.
  • Jay Fair has 18 catches and paces his team with 196 receiving yards (39.2 ypg) while scoring two touchdowns.
  • Rivaldo Fairweather has also added 145 yards on 15 catches and one touchdown. He puts up 36.3 receiving yards per game this year.
  • This season Shane Hooks is averaging 35.3 yards per game, with eight catches for 106 yards and one touchdown.

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