The Navy Midshipmen (1-3) will meet a fellow AAC opponent, the North Texas Mean Green (2-2) in a matchup on Saturday, October 7, 2023 at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium. The Midshipmen are listed as favorites in this one, with the spread sitting at 6.5 points. An over/under of 61 points has been set for the contest.
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Navy vs. North Texas Odds
Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Navy | -6.5 | -108 | -115 | 61 | -110 | -110 |
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Computer Pick
ATS | Total | Score prediction |
---|---|---|
Navy (-6.5) | Over (61) | Navy 42 North Texas 26 |
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Team Stat Comparison
Navy | North Texas | |
---|---|---|
Off. Points per Game (Rank) | 20.3 (128) | 36.3 (64) |
Def. Points per Game (Rank) | 28.5 (56) | 43.0 (115) |
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) | 2 (3) | 7 (66) |
Turnovers Forced (Rank) | 7 (56) | 7 (56) |
Navy vs. North Texas Betting Insights
Navy Stats and Trends
- Navy has covered once in four games with a spread this season.
- The Midshipmen have not covered the spread when favored by 6.5 points or more this season (in one opportunity).
- Navy games have hit the over twice this season.
- Midshipmen matchups have gone over 61 points just once this season (in four contests).
- Navy’s games this season have had an average of 50.4 points, 10.6 fewer than this matchup’s over/under.
North Texas Stats and Trends
- North Texas has a record of 1-3-0 against the spread this season.
- So far this season, each North Texas game has hit the over.
- Each game the Mean Green have played this season has gone over 61 combined points scored.
- UNT’s outings this season have a 60.3-point average over/under, 0.7 fewer points than this game’s point total.
Navy Players to Watch
- Tai Lavatai leads the team with 344 passing yards (86.0 yards per game) and has a 51.2% completion percentage this year (22-of-43) while throwing two touchdowns. He also has 139 rushing yards on 48 carries with two touchdowns, averaging 34.8 yards per game.
- Alex Tecza has churned out a team-best 291 rushing yards (72.8 per game) and one touchdown.
- Daba Fofana has 172 yards on 42 carries (43.0 ypg), with one rushing touchdown.
- Brandon Chatman has six catches and paces his team with 108 receiving yards (27.0 ypg).
- Eli Heidenreich has chipped in with 87 yards (on three catches) and one touchdown.
- Anton Hall Jr. has caught three passes for 52 yards and one touchdown, averaging 13.0 yards per game this year.
North Texas Players to Watch
- Chandler Rogers leads the team with 845 passing yards (211.3 yards per game) and has a 61.6% completion percentage this year (61-of-99) while throwing seven touchdowns with one interception. He also has 103 rushing yards on 23 carries with two touchdowns, averaging 25.8 yards per game.
- Ayo Adeyi has run for a team-leading 292 yards on 42 carries (73.0 yards per game) while scoring two touchdowns.
- Oscar Adaway has run for 148 yards on 41 carries (37.0 yards per game), with one touchdown on the ground this year.
- Jay Maclin has 13 catches and paces his team with 348 receiving yards (87.0 ypg) while scoring five touchdowns.
- Roderic Burns has added 20 receptions for 216 yards.
- Damon Ward has collected 164 yards on nine receptions with four touchdowns, averaging 54.7 yards per game.
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