The Troy Trojans (3-2) will square off against the Arkansas State Red Wolves (3-2) in Sun Belt action on Saturday, October 7, 2023 at Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL). The Red Wolves are currently heavy, 15.5-point underdogs. An over/under of 52 points has been set for the outing.
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Troy vs. Arkansas State Odds
| Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy | -15.5 | -110 | -110 | 52 | -110 | -110 |
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Computer Pick
| ATS | Total | Score prediction |
|---|---|---|
| Troy (-15.5) | Over (52) | Troy 38 Arkansas State 18 |
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Team Stat Comparison
| Troy | Arkansas State | |
|---|---|---|
| Off. Points per Game (Rank) | 26.0 (85) | 26.0 (85) |
| Def. Points per Game (Rank) | 23.8 (63) | 36.4 (124) |
| Turnovers Allowed (Rank) | 11 (122) | 6 (48) |
| Turnovers Forced (Rank) | 7 (56) | 3 (121) |
Troy vs. Arkansas State Betting Insights
Troy Stats and Trends
- Troy has a record of just 1-4-0 against the spread this season.
- The Trojans have not covered the spread when favored by 15.5 points or more this season (in one opportunity).
- So far this season, two Troy games have hit the over.
- The Trojans and their opponents have combined to score more than 52 points two times this season (in five games).
- The average point total in Troy’s contests this year is 50.6, 1.4 fewer points than this game’s over/under.
Recent Head-to-Head Matchups
Troy has a 2-0 advantage over Arkansas State in the past two matchups between these two teams. The Trojans are 2-0 against the spread in those games against the Red Wolves while the two teams have gone over the point total on one occasion. Troy outscored Arkansas State 86-29 in those two head-to-head matchups.
Arkansas State Stats and Trends
- Arkansas State has a record of 2-2-1 against the spread this year.
- The Red Wolves have not covered the spread when an underdog by 15.5 points or more this season (in two opportunities).
- In 2023, three Arkansas State games have hit the over.
- Red Wolves games this season have had a combined scoring total higher than 52 points in three of five outings.
- ASU’s games this year have had a 53.0-point total on average, 1.0 more point than this matchup’s over/under.
Troy Players to Watch
- Gunnar Watson has thrown for 1,302 yards while completing 61.2% of his passes (101-of-165), with nine touchdowns and four interceptions this year (260.4 yards per game).
- Kimani Vidal has 103 attempts for a team-high 590 rushing yards (118.0 per game) and three touchdowns. He also has nine catches for 133 receiving yards (26.6 per game) and one touchdown.
- So far this year Damien Taylor has run for 97 yards on 17 carries (32.3 ypg), with one rushing touchdown.
- This season Jabre Barber has 21 receptions for a team-high 295 receiving yards (59.0 per game) and two touchdowns.
- Chris Lewis has added 244 yards (on 12 catches) and two touchdowns.
- Deshon Stoudemire has totaled 205 yards on 18 receptions, averaging 51.3 yards per game.
Arkansas State Players to Watch
- Jaylen Raynor leads the team with 694 passing yards (231.3 yards per game) and has a 67.3% completion percentage this year (35-of-52) while throwing 10 touchdowns with one interception. He also has 189 rushing yards on 36 carries with two touchdowns, averaging 63.0 yards per game.
- Ja’Quez Cross has 49 attempts for a team-high 337 rushing yards (67.4 per game) and three touchdowns.
- Courtney Jackson has racked up 14 receptions for 274 yards, best on his team, and four touchdowns. He averages 54.8 receiving yards per game.
- Jeff Foreman’s stat line this year shows six catches for 184 yards and three touchdowns. He averages 61.3 receiving yards per game.
- Corey Rucker has racked up 128 yards on nine receptions, averaging 25.6 yards per game.
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