The Mississippi State Bulldogs (2-3) face the Western Michigan Broncos (2-3) on Saturday, October 7, 2023 at Davis Wade Stadium. The Bulldogs are undoubtedly the favorites in this one, with the line sitting at 21.5 points. The over/under in this outing is 55 points.
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Mississippi State vs. Western Michigan Odds
| Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mississippi State | -21.5 | -110 | -110 | 55 | -110 | -110 |
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Computer Pick
| ATS | Total | Score prediction |
|---|---|---|
| Western Michigan (+21.5) | Over (55) | Mississippi State 35 Western Michigan 26 |
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Team Stat Comparison
| Mississippi State | Western Michigan | |
|---|---|---|
| Off. Points per Game (Rank) | 28.0 (69) | 25.0 (91) |
| Def. Points per Game (Rank) | 29.8 (97) | 35.8 (121) |
| Turnovers Allowed (Rank) | 6 (48) | 7 (66) |
| Turnovers Forced (Rank) | 7 (56) | 7 (56) |
Mississippi State vs. Western Michigan Betting Insights
Mississippi State Stats and Trends
- Mississippi State has covered just once in five games with a spread this season.
- The Bulldogs have won their only game this season when playing as at least 21.5-point favorites.
- Mississippi State and its opponent have combined to go over the point total three out of five times this season.
- Every game the Bulldogs have played this season has gone over 55 total points.
- The average point total in State’s outings this year is 53.4, 1.6 fewer points than this game’s over/under.
Western Michigan Stats and Trends
- Western Michigan has put together a 3-2-0 record against the spread this season.
- The Broncos have been an underdog by 21.5 points or more three times this year, and covered the spread in one of those matchups.
- So far this season, three of Western Michigan’s five games with a set number have gone over the point total.
- The Broncos have played three games this season that finished with a combined score over 55 points.
- WMU has a 51.7-point average over/under in their matchups this season, 3.3 fewer points than this game’s total.
Mississippi State Players to Watch
- Will Rogers leads his team with 1,086 passing yards (217.2 per game) and has a 59.7% completion percentage (89-of-149), throwing seven touchdown passes and four interceptions.
- Jo’quavious Marks has taken 72 attempts for a team-leading 420 rushing yards (84.0 yards per game) while scoring four touchdowns. He’s also caught 15 passes for 112 yards (22.4 receiving yards per game).
- So far this year Mike Wright has run for 114 yards on 13 carries (22.8 ypg), with two rushing touchdowns.
- Lideatrick Griffin has 25 catches and paces his team with 409 receiving yards (81.8 ypg) while scoring three touchdowns.
- Justin Robinson has contributed with 12 receptions for 144 yards.
- Zavion Thomas is averaging 29.0 yards per game, racking up nine receptions for 116 yards.
Western Michigan Players to Watch
- This year, Treyson Bourguet has recorded 676 passing yards (169.0 yards per game) while going 51-for-93 (54.8% completion percentage) and throwing four touchdowns and one interception. He has added 53 rushing yards on 31 carries, averaging 13.3 yards per game.
- Jalen Buckley has rushed for a team-high 551 yards on 94 attempts (110.2 yards per game) and five touchdowns.
- Zahir Abdus-Salaam has 202 yards on 53 carries (40.4 ypg), with three rushing touchdowns.
- Anthony Sambucci has grabbed 11 passes for a team-high 207 yards while scoring four touchdowns. He averages 51.8 yards per game.
- Kenneth Womack has added 202 yards (on 18 catches).
- This season Blake Bosma is averaging 31.0 yards per game, with six catches for 155 yards.
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