Miami (OH) vs. Bowling Green: College Football Betting Picks, Predictions and Tips – October 7, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on October 1, 2023

The Miami (OH) RedHawks (4-1) will play a fellow MAC opponent, the Bowling Green Falcons (2-3) in a matchup on Saturday, October 7, 2023 at Yager Stadium. The RedHawks are considerable favorites in this one, with the spread sitting at 8.5 points. An over/under of 43 points has been set for the outing.

Want to bet on Miami (OH) or Bowling Green in this matchup? Head to DraftKings Sportsbook to place your wager today!

Miami (OH) vs. Bowling Green Odds

Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Miami (OH) -8.5 -110 -110 43 -110 -110

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Computer Pick

Computer picks for Miami (OH) vs Bowling Green
ATS Total Score prediction
Bowling Green (+8.5) Over (43) Miami (OH) 28 Bowling Green 21

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Team Stat Comparison

Miami (OH) Bowling Green
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 32.0 (52) 22.6 (107)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 22.6 (54) 29.0 (92)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 5 (29) 12 (125)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 5 (99) 9 (22)

Miami (OH) vs. Bowling Green Betting Insights

Miami (OH) Stats and Trends

  • Miami (OH) has put together a 4-1-0 ATS record so far this year.
  • The RedHawks have been favored by 8.5 points or more two times this season, and covered the spread in both.
  • In Miami (OH)’s five games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total three times.
  • The RedHawks five games this season have gone over this contest’s total of 43 points three times.
  • Miami’s contests this year have an average total of 46.6, 3.6 more points than this game’s over/under.

Recent Head-to-Head Matchups

Bowling Green and Miami (OH) have split their last two matchups 1-1. The RedHawks and Falcons have an even 1-1 record against the spread in those games with the two squads not outscoring the point total once. Miami (OH) outscored Bowling Green 47-24 in those two head-to-head matchups.

Bowling Green Stats and Trends

  • Bowling Green has covered three times in five games with a spread this season.
  • The Falcons have covered the spread twice when an underdog by 8.5 points or more this year (in three opportunities).
  • Bowling Green and its opponent have combined to hit the over three out of five times this year.
  • The Falcons have combined with their opponents to score more than 43 points in four of five games this season.
  • BG’s games this year have had a 49.2-point total on average, 6.2 more points than this matchup’s over/under.

Miami (OH) Players to Watch

  • Brett Gabbert leads the team with 1,062 passing yards (212.4 yards per game) and has a 58.5% completion percentage this year (62-of-106) while throwing 10 touchdowns with three interceptions. He also has 66 rushing yards on 27 carries, averaging 13.2 yards per game.
  • Rashad Amos has churned out a team-best 268 rushing yards (53.6 per game) and two touchdowns.
  • Jordan Brunson has run for 131 yards on 11 carries (65.5 yards per game), with one touchdown on the ground this year.
  • This season Gage Larvadain has 19 receptions for a team-high 455 receiving yards (113.8 per game) and five touchdowns.
  • Joe Wilkins has added 226 yards on 13 catches and one touchdown. He puts up 56.5 receiving yards per game this year.
  • This season Cade McDonald is averaging 34.0 yards per game, with nine catches for 136 yards and two touchdowns.

Bowling Green Players to Watch

  • Connor Bazelak leads his team with 757 passing yards (151.4 per game) and has a 59.3% completion percentage (67-of-113), throwing four touchdown passes and five interceptions.
  • Terion Stewart has run for a team-leading 353 yards on 58 carries (70.6 yards per game) while scoring four touchdowns.
  • This season Taron Keith has run for 104 yards on 14 carries (20.8 ypg), with one rushing touchdown. Keith also makes an impact in the passing game, catching 17 passes to lead the team with 191 yards (38.2 ypg).
  • Odieu Hiliare has grabbed 17 passes for a team-best 199 yards while scoring two touchdowns. He averages 39.8 yards per game.
  • Harold Fannin Jr. has 144 receiving yards on 11 receptions, with one touchdown, averaging 48.0 yards per game.

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