The Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns (3-2) are only 1.5-point favorites at home against the Texas State Bobcats (4-1) on Saturday, October 7, 2023. Each team features a prolific rushing attack, with the Ragin’ Cajuns sixth in rushing yards per contest, and the Bobcats 16th. The over/under in this outing is 67.5 points.
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Louisiana vs. Texas State Odds
| Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisiana | -1.5 | -110 | -110 | 67.5 | -110 | -110 |
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Computer Pick
| ATS | Total | Score prediction |
|---|---|---|
| Texas State (+1.5) | Under (67.5) | Louisiana 34 Texas State 33 |
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Team Stat Comparison
| Louisiana | Texas State | |
|---|---|---|
| Off. Points per Game (Rank) | 35.8 (33) | 43.4 (8) |
| Def. Points per Game (Rank) | 29.0 (92) | 29.0 (92) |
| Turnovers Allowed (Rank) | 11 (122) | 9 (100) |
| Turnovers Forced (Rank) | 6 (76) | 9 (22) |
Louisiana vs. Texas State Betting Insights
Louisiana Stats and Trends
- Louisiana has won just one game against the spread this season.
- The Ragin’ Cajuns have not covered the spread when favored by 1.5 points or more this season (in three opportunities).
- A total of four out of five Louisiana games this season have hit the over.
- Ragin’ Cajuns games have had a combined total of more than 67.5 points two times this season (in five outings).
- Louisiana’s games this season have had an average of 54.6 points, 12.9 fewer than this matchup’s over/under.
Recent Head-to-Head Matchups
In the past three matchups between these two squads, Louisiana holds a 3-0 advantage over Texas State. The Ragin’ Cajuns have a 2-1 record against the spread in those games against the Bobcats, with the two squads outpacing the total on two occasions. Louisiana outscored Texas State 130-47 in those three head-to-head matchups.
Texas State Stats and Trends
- Texas State has won four games against the spread this season, failing to cover once.
- The Bobcats have been an underdog by 1.5 points or more two times this season, and covered the spread both times.
- Texas State games have hit the over three out of five times this season.
- The Bobcats have combined with their opponents to score more than 67.5 points in three of five games this season.
- Texas State has had an average of 61.2 points scored in their games so far this season, 6.3 points fewer than this game’s over/under.
Louisiana Players to Watch
- Zeon Chriss has thrown for 595 yards while completing 67.6% of his passes (50-of-74), with four touchdowns and four interceptions this year (148.8 yards per game). He’s also carried the ball 28 times for 260 yards and four touchdowns, averaging 65.0 yards per game.
- Jacob Kibodi has rushed for a team-leading 376 yards on 40 attempts (75.2 yards per game) while scoring four touchdowns.
- This season Jacob Bernard has 14 receptions for a team-high 188 receiving yards (37.6 per game).
- Robert Williams’ stat line this year shows 15 catches for 177 yards and two touchdowns. He averages 44.3 receiving yards per game.
- Peter Leblanc has caught 14 passes for 175 yards and two touchdowns, averaging 35.0 yards per game this year.
Texas State Players to Watch
- TJ Finley leads his team with 1,294 passing yards (258.8 per game) and has a 72.8% completion percentage (99-of-136), throwing 10 touchdown passes and one interception.
- Ismail Mahdi has run for a team-high 488 yards on 50 attempts (97.6 yards per game) and seven touchdowns.
- Malik Hornsby has 163 yards on 13 carries (54.3 ypg), with four rushing touchdowns.
- Joey Hobert has racked up 30 receptions for 370 yards, best on his team, and three touchdowns. He averages 74.0 receiving yards per game.
- Ashtyn Hawkins has hauled in 22 catches for 287 yards (57.4 yards per game) and one touchdown.
- Kole Wilson has caught 18 passes for 282 yards and three touchdowns, averaging 56.4 yards per game this year.
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