The Iowa Hawkeyes (4-1) will face off against their Big Ten-rival, the Purdue Boilermakers (2-3) in a matchup on Saturday, October 7, 2023 at Kinnick Stadium. The betting information foretells a close game, with the Hawkeyes favored by 2.5 points. The over/under is set at 38.5 in the contest.
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Iowa vs. Purdue Odds
| Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iowa | -2.5 | -110 | -110 | 38.5 | -110 | -110 |
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Computer Pick
| ATS | Total | Score prediction |
|---|---|---|
| Iowa (-2.5) | Over (38.5) | Iowa 26 Purdue 22 |
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Team Stat Comparison
| Iowa | Purdue | |
|---|---|---|
| Off. Points per Game (Rank) | 22.2 (108) | 28.0 (69) |
| Def. Points per Game (Rank) | 16.8 (24) | 29.6 (96) |
| Turnovers Allowed (Rank) | 9 (100) | 8 (83) |
| Turnovers Forced (Rank) | 7 (56) | 6 (76) |
Iowa vs. Purdue Betting Insights
Iowa Stats and Trends
- Iowa has a record of 2-2-1 against the spread this season.
- The Hawkeyes have covered the spread twice when favored by 2.5 points or more this season (in four opportunities).
- Iowa games have hit the over twice this season.
- Hawkeyes games have gone over 38.5 points two times this season (in five outings).
- Iowa’s outings this year have an average point total of 39.3, 0.8 more points than this matchup’s over/under.
Recent Head-to-Head Matchups
Purdue holds an edge against Iowa in the past three matchups between these two teams, putting together a 2-1 record in those games. The Boilermakers are 2-1 against the spread in those games against the Hawkeyes while the two teams haven’t managed to go over the point total. Iowa and Purdue each scored 51 total points over those three head-to-head matchups.
Purdue Stats and Trends
- Purdue has a record of 2-3-0 against the spread this season.
- The Boilermakers have not covered the spread when an underdog by 2.5 points or more this season (in one opportunity).
- In 2023, three Purdue games have gone over the point total.
- Every game the Boilers have played this season has gone over 38.5 combined points scored.
- Purdue’s outings this season have a 51.9-point average over/under, 13.4 more points than this game’s total.
Iowa Players to Watch
- Cade McNamara leads the team with 505 passing yards (101.0 yards per game) and has a 51.1% completion percentage this year (46-of-90) while throwing four touchdowns with three interceptions.
- Leshon Williams has churned out a team-best 211 rushing yards (42.2 per game) and zero touchdowns.
- So far this year Jaziun Patterson has run for 104 yards on 21 carries (34.7 ypg), with one rushing touchdown.
- Erick All has 14 catches, leading his team with 183 yards (36.6 ypg) while also scoring two touchdowns this season.
- Luke Lachey has hauled in 10 catches for 131 yards (65.5 yards per game).
- Seth Anderson has caught five passes for 79 yards and one touchdown, averaging 19.8 yards per game this year.
Purdue Players to Watch
- This campaign, Hudson Card has racked up 1,244 passing yards (248.8 yards per game) while connecting on 111 of 174 passes (63.8% completion percentage), with five touchdowns and three interceptions. He has tacked on 75 rushing yards on 45 carries (plus three touchdowns), averaging 15.0 yards per game.
- Tyrone Tracy Jr. has churned out a team-best 288 rushing yards (57.6 per game) and five touchdowns.
- So far this year Devin Mockobee has run for 279 yards on 67 carries (55.8 ypg), with three rushing touchdowns.
- Deion Burks has 20 catches, leading his team with 377 yards (75.4 ypg) while hauling in four touchdowns this season.
- Abdur-Rahmaan Yaseen’s stat line this year shows 24 catches for 315 yards. He averages 63.0 receiving yards per game.
- Max Klare has caught 22 passes for 196 yards, averaging 39.2 yards per game this year.
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