The No. 16 Ole Miss Rebels (4-1) will face off against a fellow SEC opponent, the Arkansas Razorbacks (2-3) in a matchup on Saturday, October 7, 2023 at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium. The Razorbacks are significant underdogs in this one, with the spread posted at 13 points. An over/under of 61.5 points has been set for the outing.
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Ole Miss vs. Arkansas Odds
| Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ole Miss | -13 | -108 | -112 | 61.5 | -108 | -112 |
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Computer Pick
| ATS | Total | Score prediction |
|---|---|---|
| Ole Miss (-13) | Under (61.5) | Ole Miss 41 Arkansas 20 |
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Team Stat Comparison
| Ole Miss | Arkansas | |
|---|---|---|
| Off. Points per Game (Rank) | 44.6 (5) | 33.6 (44) |
| Def. Points per Game (Rank) | 24.6 (72) | 25.0 (74) |
| Turnovers Allowed (Rank) | 3 (8) | 5 (29) |
| Turnovers Forced (Rank) | 5 (99) | 11 (10) |
Ole Miss vs. Arkansas Betting Insights
Ole Miss Stats and Trends
- Ole Miss has won four games against the spread this season, while failing to cover once.
- The Rebels have covered the spread when playing as at least 13-point favorites in three of three opportunities this season.
- A total of three out of five Ole Miss games this season have gone over the point total.
- The Rebs and their opponents have scored more than 61.5 points in three of five games this season.
- The average total in Mississippi’s games this season is 60.8, 0.7 points fewer than this matchup’s over/under.
Recent Head-to-Head Matchups
Arkansas has a 2-1 advantage over Ole Miss in the last three matchups between these two teams. The Razorbacks have a 3-0 record against the spread in those games against the Rebels, with the two squads eclipsing the total on two occasions. Arkansas totaled 126 points in those three matchups compared to Ole Miss’ 100.
Arkansas Stats and Trends
- Arkansas has won two games against the spread this year.
- The Razorbacks have won their only game this season when playing as at least 13-point underdogs.
- Arkansas games have hit the over four out of five times this season.
- Hogs games this season have had a combined scoring total higher than 61.5 points in three of five outings.
- Arkansas has had an average of 55.2 points scored in their games so far this season, 6.3 points fewer than this game’s over/under.
Ole Miss Players to Watch
- This year, Jaxson Dart has put up 1,485 passing yards (297.0 yards per game) while going 91-for-142 (64.1% completion percentage) and throwing 11 touchdowns and two interceptions. He has added 269 rushing yards on 51 carries with four touchdowns, averaging 53.8 yards per game.
- Quinshon Judkins has run for a team-high 378 yards on 90 carries (75.6 yards per game) and five touchdowns. He also has 84 receiving yards on nine catches (16.8 yards per game) and one touchdown.
- This season Jordan Watkins has 29 receptions for a team-high 450 receiving yards (90.0 per game) and two touchdowns.
- Dayton Wade has also contributed with 367 yards on 23 catches and one touchdown. He averages 73.4 receiving yards per game this year.
- This season Tre Harris is averaging 113.7 yards per game, with 16 catches for 341 yards and six touchdowns.
Arkansas Players to Watch
- K.J. Jefferson leads the team with 1,050 passing yards (210.0 yards per game) and has a 68% completion percentage this year (85-of-125) while throwing 10 touchdowns with four interceptions. He also has 125 rushing yards on 65 carries with one touchdown, averaging 25.0 yards per game.
- AJ Green has picked up a team-high 195 rushing yards (39.0 yards per game) and scored two touchdowns.
- Rashod Dubinion has 177 yards on 47 carries (35.4 ypg), with one rushing touchdown.
- Andrew Armstrong has racked up 27 receptions for 351 yards, best on his team, and four touchdowns. He averages 70.2 receiving yards per game.
- Luke Hasz has also contributed with 16 receptions for 253 yards and three touchdowns.
- Isaac TeSlaa has 174 receiving yards on 14 receptions, with one touchdown, averaging 34.8 yards per game.
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