The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (2-2) will play a fellow CUSA opponent, the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (1-3) in a matchup on Thursday, September 28, 2023 at Houchens Industries–L.T. Smith Stadium. The Hilltoppers are listed as favorites in this one, with the spread sitting at 6.5 points. The over/under in this contest is 61.5 points.
Want to bet on Western Kentucky or Middle Tennessee in this matchup? Head to DraftKings Sportsbook to place your wager today!
Western Kentucky vs. Middle Tennessee Odds
| Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Western Kentucky | -6.5 | -115 | -105 | 61.5 | -110 | -110 |
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Computer Pick
| ATS | Total | Score prediction |
|---|---|---|
| Middle Tennessee (+6.5) | Under (61.5) | Western Kentucky 32 Middle Tennessee 26 |
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Team Stat Comparison
| Western Kentucky | Middle Tennessee | |
|---|---|---|
| Off. Points per Game (Rank) | 31.8 (57) | 21.0 (110) |
| Def. Points per Game (Rank) | 34.0 (111) | 31.0 (102) |
| Turnovers Allowed (Rank) | 6 (68) | 5 (49) |
| Turnovers Forced (Rank) | 11 (2) | 4 (94) |
Western Kentucky vs. Middle Tennessee Betting Insights
Western Kentucky Stats and Trends
- Western Kentucky has a record of 2-2-0 against the spread this season.
- The Hilltoppers have covered the spread once when favored by 6.5 points or more this season (in two opportunities).
- Western Kentucky games have gone over the point total twice this season.
- In three of four games this season, the Toppers and their opponents have combined to total more than 61.5 points.
- The average point total in WKU’s contests this year is 64.8, 3.3 more points than this game’s over/under.
Recent Head-to-Head Matchups
Western Kentucky has an edge against Middle Tennessee over the past three matchups between these two teams, putting together a 3-0 record in those games. The Hilltoppers have a 2-1 record against the spread in those games against the Blue Raiders, with the two squads going over the total on one occasion. Western Kentucky outscored Middle Tennessee 103-55 in those three head-to-head matchups.
Middle Tennessee Stats and Trends
- Middle Tennessee has won one game against the spread this year.
- The Blue Raiders have been an underdog by 6.5 points or more two times this season, and covered the spread in one of those contests.
- This year, games featuring Middle Tennessee have hit the over twice.
- The Blue Raiders and their opponents have scored more than 61.5 combined points once this season.
- The average over/under for MTSU’s outings this season is 50.0, 11.5 fewer points than this game’s total.
Western Kentucky Players to Watch
- Austin Reed leads his team with 1,064 passing yards (266.0 per game) and has a 62.9% completion percentage (100-of-159), throwing nine touchdown passes and one interception. He also has 47 rushing yards on 17 carries (with two touchdowns), averaging 11.8 yards per game.
- Davion Ervin-Poindexter has rushed for a team-leading 101 yards on 21 carries (25.3 yards per game).
- So far this year Markese Stepp has run for 88 yards on 21 carries (29.3 ypg), with one rushing touchdown.
- Malachi Corley has hauled in 21 receptions for 255 yards, best on his team, and two touchdowns. He averages 85.0 receiving yards per game.
- Easton Messer’s stat line this year shows 18 catches for 237 yards and two touchdowns. He puts up 59.3 receiving yards per game.
- L’Christian Smith has 118 receiving yards on 10 receptions, with one touchdown, averaging 39.3 yards per game.
Middle Tennessee Players to Watch
- This year, Nick Vattiato has racked up 911 passing yards (227.8 yards per game) while going 101-for-143 (70.6% completion percentage) and throwing seven touchdowns and two interceptions. He has tacked on 138 rushing yards on 42 carries with one touchdown, averaging 34.5 yards per game.
- Jaiden Credle has rushed for a team-high 188 yards on 29 carries (47.0 yards per game) and one touchdown.
- This season Elijah Metcalf has 22 catches and leads the team with 192 yards (48.0 per game) while scoring one touchdown.
- Holden Willis’ stat line this year shows 13 catches for 142 yards and one touchdown. He averages 47.3 receiving yards per game.
- Jeremy Tate Jr. has totaled 129 yards on nine receptions with one touchdown, averaging 43.0 yards per game.
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