The Navy Midshipmen (1-2) will square off against a fellow AAC opponent, the South Florida Bulls (2-2) in a matchup on Saturday, September 30, 2023 at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium. The Bulls will attempt to pull off an upset as 4-point underdogs. An over/under of 54.5 points has been set for the outing.
Want to bet on Navy or South Florida in this matchup? Head to DraftKings Sportsbook to place your wager today!
Navy vs. South Florida Odds
| Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Navy | -4 | -110 | -110 | 54.5 | -110 | -110 |
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Computer Pick
| ATS | Total | Score prediction |
|---|---|---|
| South Florida (+4) | Under (54.5) | Navy 26 South Florida 25 |
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Team Stat Comparison
| Navy | South Florida | |
|---|---|---|
| Off. Points per Game (Rank) | 17.0 (130) | 26.8 (83) |
| Def. Points per Game (Rank) | 23.3 (29) | 27.8 (87) |
| Turnovers Allowed (Rank) | 2 (6) | 6 (65) |
| Turnovers Forced (Rank) | 4 (95) | 6 (55) |
Navy vs. South Florida Betting Insights
Navy Stats and Trends
- Navy has a record of 1-2-0 against the spread this season.
- The Midshipmen have been favored by 4 points or more this season once, and failed to cover the spread.
- Navy games have hit the over once this season.
- None of the Midshipmen three games this season have had a combined score higher than this contest’s total of 54.5.
- Navy has had an average of 49.0 points in their games this season, 5.5 fewer than this matchup’s total.
South Florida Stats and Trends
- South Florida has covered twice in four games with a spread this season.
- The Bulls have covered the spread once when an underdog by 4 points or more this year (in two opportunities).
- South Florida games have gone over the point total just once this season.
- The Bulls have combined with their opponent to score more than 54.5 points in three of four games this season.
- The average total for USF games this season has been 63.3, 8.8 more points than this matchup’s over/under.
Navy Players to Watch
- This season, Tai Lavatai has collected 337 passing yards (112.3 yards per game) while completing 21 of 38 passes (55.3% completion percentage), with two touchdowns and zero interceptions. He has added 118 rushing yards on 40 carries, averaging 39.3 yards per game.
- Alex Tecza has taken 26 carries for a team-leading 209 rushing yards (69.7 yards per game) while scoring one touchdown.
- Daba Fofana has run for 119 yards on 33 carries (39.7 yards per game), with one touchdown on the ground this year.
- Brandon Chatman has five catches and paces his team with 100 receiving yards (33.3 ypg).
- Nathan Kent has also contributed with 51 yards on three catches. He averages 25.5 receiving yards per game this year.
- Anton Hall Jr. has collected 45 yards on one catch, averaging 15.0 yards per game.
South Florida Players to Watch
- Byrum Brown has thrown for 885 yards while completing 56.8% of his passes (71-of-125), with six touchdowns and three interceptions this year (221.3 yards per game). He’s also carried the ball 79 times for 357 yards and five touchdowns, averaging 89.3 yards per game.
- Nay’Quan Wright has 242 yards on 56 carries (60.5 ypg), with one rushing touchdown.
- This season Naiem Simmons has 15 receptions for a team-high 357 receiving yards (89.3 per game) and two touchdowns.
- Sean Atkins has also contributed with 24 receptions for 215 yards and one touchdown.
- Khafre Brown is averaging 56.0 yards per game, racking up seven receptions for 168 yards and two touchdowns.
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