The Georgia State Panthers (4-0) are just 1-point favorites at home against the Troy Trojans (2-2) on Saturday, September 30, 2023. Each team has a strong rushing defense, with the Panthers 25th in the country against the run, and the Trojans 22nd. The over/under is set at 50.5 in the outing.
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Georgia State vs. Troy Odds
| Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia State | -1 | -110 | -110 | 50.5 | -112 | -108 |
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Computer Pick
| ATS | Total | Score prediction |
|---|---|---|
| Georgia State (-1) | Under (50.5) | Georgia State 33 Troy 16 |
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Team Stat Comparison
| Georgia State | Troy | |
|---|---|---|
| Off. Points per Game (Rank) | 37.0 (36) | 25.5 (89) |
| Def. Points per Game (Rank) | 22.8 (58) | 28.0 (89) |
| Turnovers Allowed (Rank) | 1 (2) | 10 (122) |
| Turnovers Forced (Rank) | 7 (38) | 4 (95) |
Georgia State vs. Troy Betting Insights
Georgia State Stats and Trends
- Georgia State has won three games against the spread this season, while failing to cover once.
- The Panthers have been favored by 1 point or more three times this season, and covered the spread in two of those matchups.
- So far this season, two Georgia State games have hit the over.
- In two games this season, the Panthers and their opponents have combined to put up more than 50.5 points.
- Georgia State’s contests this year have an average total of 57.4, 6.9 more points than this matchup’s over/under.
Recent Head-to-Head Matchups
In the last two matchups between these two teams, Georgia State holds a 2-0 advantage over Troy. The Panthers have a 2-0 record against the spread in those games against the Trojans, with the two squads outpacing the point total on one occasion. Georgia State outscored Troy 73-44 in those two head-to-head matchups.
Troy Stats and Trends
- Troy is winless against the spread this year (0-4-0).
- The Trojans have not covered the spread this season (0-1 ATS) when playing as at least 1-point underdogs.
- Troy games have hit the over twice this season.
- The Trojans have played three games this season that finished with a combined score higher than 50.5 points.
- Troy’s average game total this season has been 50.6, 0.1 more points than this matchup’s over/under.
Georgia State Players to Watch
- Darren Grainger leads the team with 994 passing yards (248.5 yards per game) and has a 69.5% completion percentage this year (73-of-105) while throwing seven touchdowns. He also has 263 rushing yards on 47 carries with three touchdowns, averaging 65.8 yards per game.
- Marcus Carroll has racked up a team-high 508 rushing yards (127.0 yards per game) and scored eight touchdowns.
- Robert Lewis has racked up 20 receptions for 386 yards, best on his team, and five touchdowns. He averages 96.5 receiving yards per game.
- Tailique Williams has contributed with 12 catches for 249 yards and two touchdowns this year. He puts up 62.3 receiving yards per game.
- This season Jacari Carter is averaging 31.0 yards per game, with 14 catches for 124 yards.
Troy Players to Watch
- Gunnar Watson has passed for 1,046 yards while completing 57.8% of his throws (78-of-135), with eight touchdowns and three interceptions (261.5 yards per game).
- Kimani Vidal has taken 80 attempts for a team-leading 514 rushing yards (128.5 yards per game) while scoring two touchdowns. He’s also caught seven passes for 117 yards (29.3 receiving yards per game).
- So far this year Jarris Williams has rushed for 48 yards on nine carries (12.0 ypg), with one rushing touchdown.
- This season Chris Lewis has 12 catches and leads the team with 244 yards (81.3 per game) while hauling in two touchdowns.
- Devonte Ross’ stat line this year shows 15 catches for 175 yards and two touchdowns. He puts up 43.8 receiving yards per game.
- This season Jabre Barber has caught 14 passes for 174 yards and two touchdowns, averaging 43.5 receiving yards per game.
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