Two of the country’s strongest pass defenses clash when the Pittsburgh Panthers (1-3) carry college football’s 12th-ranked passing D into a contest versus the Virginia Tech Hokies (1-3), with the No. 1 unit, on Saturday, September 30, 2023. The Panthers are only 2.5-point favorites. The over/under is 40.5 in the contest.
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Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech Odds
| Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh | -2.5 | -115 | -105 | 40.5 | -110 | -110 |
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Computer Pick
| ATS | Total | Score prediction |
|---|---|---|
| Virginia Tech (+2.5) | Over (40.5) | Virginia Tech 25 Pittsburgh 21 |
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Team Stat Comparison
| Pittsburgh | Virginia Tech | |
|---|---|---|
| Off. Points per Game (Rank) | 24.0 (94) | 21.5 (109) |
| Def. Points per Game (Rank) | 23.0 (62) | 25.0 (68) |
| Turnovers Allowed (Rank) | 7 (83) | 5 (47) |
| Turnovers Forced (Rank) | 3 (109) | 5 (76) |
Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech Betting Insights
Pittsburgh Stats and Trends
- Pittsburgh has won one game against the spread this season.
- The Panthers have covered the spread once this season (1-1 ATS) when playing as at least 2.5-point favorites.
- So far this season, three of Pittsburgh’s four games have hit the over.
- In three games this season, the Panthers and their opponents have scored more than 40.5 total points.
- The average point total in Pitt’s contests this year is 47.6, 7.1 more points than this game’s over/under.
Recent Head-to-Head Matchups
Pittsburgh holds a 3-0 advantage over Virginia Tech in the past three matchups between these two teams. In those games against the Hokies, the Panthers have a 3-0 record against the spread with those games outpacing the point total on two occasions. Pittsburgh put up 120 points in those three matchups compared to Virginia Tech’s 50.
Virginia Tech Stats and Trends
- Virginia Tech has covered once in three chances against the spread this year.
- The Hokies have not covered the spread this season (0-1 ATS) when playing as at least 2.5-point underdogs.
- Virginia Tech games have hit the over once this season.
- The Hokies and their opponents have combined to score more than 40.5 points in all four games this season.
- The average total for Tech games this season has been 46.7, 6.2 more points than this matchup’s over/under.
Pittsburgh Players to Watch
- Phil Jurkovec has thrown for 583 yards while completing 51.1% of his passes (46-of-90), with four touchdowns and three interceptions this year (145.8 yards per game). He’s also carried the ball 33 times for 81 yards and one touchdown, averaging 20.3 yards per game.
- Rodney Hammond Jr. has 39 attempts for a team-high 178 rushing yards (44.5 per game) and three touchdowns.
- So far this year C’Bo Flemister has run for 109 yards on 22 carries (27.3 ypg).
- Gavin Bartholomew has hauled in nine receptions for 216 yards, best on his team, and one touchdown. He averages 54.0 receiving yards per game.
- Konata Mumpfield has contributed with 16 receptions for 183 yards and two touchdowns.
- Daejon Reynolds is averaging 21.5 yards per game, racking up seven receptions for 86 yards.
Virginia Tech Players to Watch
- Grant Wells has passed for 494 yards while completing 53.2% of his throws (33-of-62), with five touchdowns and two interceptions (247.0 yards per game).
- Bhayshul Tuten has picked up a team-high 192 rushing yards (48.0 yards per game) and scored one touchdown. He has added eight catches for 95 yards (23.8 receiving yards per game) with one receiving touchdown.
- So far this year Kyron Drones has run for 164 yards on 41 carries (41.0 ypg), with two rushing touchdowns.
- Stephen Gosnell has reeled in nine passes for a team-high 133 yards. He averages 33.3 yards per game.
- Da’Quan Felton has hauled in 10 catches for 128 yards (42.7 yards per game) and one touchdown.
- Dae’Quan Wright has caught 11 passes for 127 yards, averaging 31.8 yards per game this year.
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