The No. 25 Fresno State Bulldogs (4-0) will face off against their MWC-rival, the Nevada Wolf Pack (0-4) in a matchup on Saturday, September 30, 2023 at Bulldog Stadium (CA). The Wolf Pack will need a complete game to pull off an upset, they are currently 25.5-point underdogs. The over/under is set at 50.5 in the outing.
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Fresno State vs. Nevada Odds
| Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fresno State | -25.5 | -110 | -110 | 50.5 | -110 | -110 |
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Computer Pick
| ATS | Total | Score prediction |
|---|---|---|
| Nevada (+25.5) | Over (50.5) | Fresno State 41 Nevada 19 |
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Team Stat Comparison
| Fresno State | Nevada | |
|---|---|---|
| Off. Points per Game (Rank) | 38.8 (24) | 17.0 (123) |
| Def. Points per Game (Rank) | 19.0 (40) | 41.3 (127) |
| Turnovers Allowed (Rank) | 2 (6) | 7 (83) |
| Turnovers Forced (Rank) | 10 (7) | 5 (76) |
Fresno State vs. Nevada Betting Insights
Fresno State Stats and Trends
- Fresno State has compiled a 3-1-0 record against the spread this season.
- The Bulldogs have covered the spread once when favored by 25.5 points or more this season (in two opportunities).
- So far this season, three of Fresno State’s four games have hit the over.
- The Bulldogs four games this season have gone over this contest’s total of 50.5 points three times.
- Fresno’s contests this year have an average total of 51.4, 0.9 more points than this game’s over/under.
Recent Head-to-Head Matchups
Fresno State has a 2-1 advantage over Nevada in the past three matchups between these two squads. The Wolf Pack are 2-1 against the spread in those games against the Bulldogs while the two teams went over the point total each time. Fresno State has had the scoring advantage in those three matchups, totaling 101 points while Nevada put up 83.
Nevada Stats and Trends
- Nevada has a record of 2-2-0 against the spread this season.
- The Wolf Pack have been an underdog by 25.5 points or more two times this year, and covered the spread in one of those matchups.
- Games featuring Nevada have hit the over just once this year.
- The Wolf Pack have combined with their opponent to score more than 50.5 points in three of four games this season.
- Nevada’s games this year have had a 58.0-point total on average, 7.5 more points than this matchup’s over/under.
Fresno State Players to Watch
- Mikey Keene leads his team with 1,199 passing yards (299.8 per game) and has a 66.9% completion percentage (109-of-163), throwing 12 touchdown passes and two interceptions.
- Elijah Gilliam has churned out a team-best 255 rushing yards (63.8 per game) and four touchdowns. He has tacked on seven receptions for 96 yards (24.0 yards per game) and one TD.
- So far this year Malik Sherrod has rushed for 130 yards on 24 carries (43.3 ypg), with one rushing touchdown.
- Erik Brooks has 31 catches, leading his team with 440 yards (110.0 ypg) while scoring four touchdowns this season.
- Jaelen Gill has hauled in 21 catches for 209 yards (52.3 yards per game) and three touchdowns.
- Jalen Moss has caught 20 passes for 206 yards and three touchdowns, averaging 51.5 yards per game this year.
Nevada Players to Watch
- Brendon Lewis has thrown for 527 yards while completing 62.4% of his passes (63-of-101), with zero touchdowns and two interceptions this year (131.8 yards per game). He’s also carried the ball 40 times for 174 yards and two touchdowns, averaging 43.5 yards per game.
- Sean Dollars has run for 157 yards on 48 carries (39.3 yards per game), with two touchdowns on the ground this year.
- This season Jamaal Bell has 24 catches and leads the team with 222 yards (55.5 per game) while hauling in one touchdown.
- Spencer Curtis’ stat line this year shows eight catches for 113 yards. He puts up 28.3 receiving yards per game.
- This season Dalevon Campbell is averaging 26.8 yards per game, with eight catches for 107 yards.
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