The UCF Knights (3-1) will face off against their Big 12-rival, the Baylor Bears (1-3) in a matchup on Saturday, September 30, 2023 at FBC Mortgage Stadium. The Knights are considerable favorites in this one, with the spread posted at 9 points. An over/under of 56.5 points has been set for the contest.
Want to bet on UCF or Baylor in this matchup? Head to DraftKings Sportsbook to place your wager today!
UCF vs. Baylor Odds
| Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UCF | -9 | -110 | -110 | 56.5 | -110 | -110 |
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Computer Pick
| ATS | Total | Score prediction |
|---|---|---|
| UCF (-9) | Under (56.5) | UCF 35 Baylor 18 |
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Team Stat Comparison
| UCF | Baylor | |
|---|---|---|
| Off. Points per Game (Rank) | 38.3 (27) | 20.0 (116) |
| Def. Points per Game (Rank) | 20.0 (45) | 26.8 (79) |
| Turnovers Allowed (Rank) | 7 (83) | 6 (65) |
| Turnovers Forced (Rank) | 4 (95) | 6 (55) |
UCF vs. Baylor Betting Insights
UCF Stats and Trends
- UCF has won two games against the spread this season.
- The Knights have covered the spread when playing as at least 9-point favorites in two of two games this season.
- So far this season, three of UCF’s four games have hit the over.
- The Knights four games this season have gone over this contest’s total of 56.5 points three times.
- UCF has had an average of 54.6 points in their games this season, 1.9 fewer than this matchup’s total.
Baylor Stats and Trends
- Baylor has compiled a 0-3-1 record against the spread this year.
- The Bears have not covered the spread when an underdog by 9 points or more this season (in one opportunity).
- Games featuring Baylor have hit the over just once this season.
- The Bears and their opponents have scored more than 56.5 combined points once this season.
- Baylor’s contests this season have a 51.8-point average over/under, 4.7 fewer points than this game’s point total.
UCF Players to Watch
- Timmy McClain has thrown for 638 yards while completing 64.9% of his passes (37-of-57), with five touchdowns and one interception this year (212.7 yards per game). He’s also carried the ball 23 times for 80 yards, averaging 26.7 yards per game.
- Johnny Richardson has rushed for a team-high 289 yards on 39 carries (72.3 yards per game) and zero touchdowns.
- RJ Harvey has 283 yards on 52 carries (70.8 ypg), with five rushing touchdowns. He also has seven catches for 156 yards (39.0 ypg) and two touchdowns.
- This season Kobe Hudson has 20 catches and leads the team with 463 yards (115.8 per game) while scoring two touchdowns.
- Javon Baker has chipped in with 219 yards (on 14 catches) and one touchdown.
Baylor Players to Watch
- Sawyer Robertson has passed for 647 yards while completing 49.5% of his throws (48-of-97), with one touchdown and four interceptions (161.8 yards per game).
- Dominic Richardson has racked up a team-high 160 rushing yards (53.3 yards per game). He has tacked on seven catches for 49 yards (16.3 receiving yards per game).
- So far this year Dawson Pendergrass has rushed for 134 yards on 28 carries (44.7 ypg), with one rushing touchdown.
- This season Ketron Jackson Jr. has 13 receptions for a team-high 223 receiving yards (55.8 per game).
- Hal Presley has added 172 yards (on 11 catches).
- Drake Dabney has 147 receiving yards on 10 receptions, with three touchdowns, averaging 36.8 yards per game.
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