The Boise State Broncos (2-2) will look to upset the Memphis Tigers (3-1) on Saturday, September 30, 2023 at the Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium. The Tigers are listed as favorites in this one, with the spread sitting at 3 points. The over/under is set at 58.5 in the contest.
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Memphis vs. Boise State Odds
| Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Memphis | -3 | -105 | -115 | 58.5 | -110 | -110 |
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Computer Pick
| ATS | Total | Score prediction |
|---|---|---|
| Memphis (-3) | Under (58.5) | Memphis 30 Boise State 24 |
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Team Stat Comparison
| Memphis | Boise State | |
|---|---|---|
| Off. Points per Game (Rank) | 37.0 (36) | 27.8 (79) |
| Def. Points per Game (Rank) | 18.8 (38) | 30.8 (100) |
| Turnovers Allowed (Rank) | 7 (83) | 6 (65) |
| Turnovers Forced (Rank) | 8 (20) | 6 (55) |
Memphis vs. Boise State Betting Insights
Memphis Stats and Trends
- Memphis has won one game against the spread this season.
- The Tigers have covered the spread once this season (1-2 ATS) when playing as at least 3-point favorites.
- Memphis games have gone over the point total three out of four times this season.
- Tigers games have had a combined total of more than 58.5 points twice this season (over four outings).
- Memphis’ outings this year have an average point total of 54.1, 4.4 fewer points than this game’s over/under.
Boise State Stats and Trends
- Boise State has a record of 2-2-0 against the spread this year.
- The Broncos have covered the spread once when an underdog by 3 points or more this year (in two opportunities).
- In 2023, three Boise State games have gone over the point total.
- The Broncos have played three games this season that finished with a point total higher than 58.5 points.
- The average over/under for Boise’s outings this season is 55.3, 3.2 fewer points than this game’s point total.
Memphis Players to Watch
- Seth Henigan has thrown for 1,107 yards while completing 69.4% of his passes (102-of-147), with eight touchdowns and five interceptions this year (276.8 yards per game). He’s also carried the ball 31 times for 68 yards and three touchdowns, averaging 17.0 yards per game.
- Blake Watson has ran for a team-leading 342 yards on 58 attempts (85.5 yards per game) while scoring four touchdowns. He also averages 53.3 receiving yards per game, grabbing 24 passes for 213 yards and one touchdown.
- Sutton Smith has 142 yards on 29 carries (35.5 ypg), with two rushing touchdowns.
- Roc Taylor has hauled in 22 receptions for 297 yards, best on his team, and one touchdown. He averages 74.3 receiving yards per game.
- DeMeer Blankumsee is averaging 41.5 yards per game, racking up 15 receptions for 166 yards and one touchdown.
Boise State Players to Watch
- This year, Taylen Green has racked up 738 passing yards (184.5 yards per game) while going 58-for-109 (53.2% completion percentage) and throwing four touchdowns and four interceptions. He has tacked on 128 rushing yards on 27 carries with two touchdowns, averaging 32.0 yards per game.
- Ashton Jeanty has rushed for a team-leading 407 yards on 73 carries (101.8 yards per game) while scoring six touchdowns. He also averages 71.3 receiving yards per game, grabbing 18 passes for 285 yards and two touchdowns.
- Eric McAlister has hauled in 20 passes for a team-high 328 yards with three touchdowns. He averages 82.0 yards per game.
- Stefan Cobbs has 145 receiving yards on 14 receptions, with one touchdown, averaging 36.3 yards per game.
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