The SMU Mustangs (2-2) will face off against their AAC-rival, the Charlotte 49ers (1-3) in a matchup on Saturday, September 30, 2023 at Gerald J. Ford Stadium. The 49ers will need their best effort to pull off an upset, they are currently 22.5-point underdogs. The over/under for the outing is 53 points.
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SMU vs. Charlotte Odds
| Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMU | -22.5 | -110 | -110 | 53 | -110 | -110 |
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Computer Pick
| ATS | Total | Score prediction |
|---|---|---|
| Charlotte (+22.5) | Under (53) | SMU 28 Charlotte 21 |
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Team Stat Comparison
| SMU | Charlotte | |
|---|---|---|
| Off. Points per Game (Rank) | 33.8 (52) | 19 (119) |
| Def. Points per Game (Rank) | 19 (40) | 26 (76) |
| Turnovers Allowed (Rank) | 5 (47) | 6 (65) |
| Turnovers Forced (Rank) | 1 (126) | 5 (76) |
SMU vs. Charlotte Betting Insights
SMU Stats and Trends
- SMU has covered twice in four games with a spread this season.
- The Mustangs have been favored by 22.5 points or more once this season, and covered the spread.
- Games featuring SMU have gone over the point total just once this season.
- Mustangs games have gone over 53 points just once this season (in four contests).
- SMU has an average point total of 64.9 in their outings this year, 11.9 more points than this matchup’s over/under.
Charlotte Stats and Trends
- Charlotte has covered twice in four chances against the spread this year.
- The 49ers have been an underdog by 22.5 points or more two times this season, and covered the spread both times.
- This year, games featuring Charlotte have hit the over twice.
- The 49ers and their opponents have scored more than 53 combined points twice this season.
- Charlotte’s games this season have had an average of 49.0 points, 4.0 fewer points than this game’s point total.
SMU Players to Watch
- Preston Stone leads his team with 1,056 passing yards (264 per game) and has a 58.4% completion percentage (80-of-137), throwing nine touchdown passes and four interceptions. He also has 48 rushing yards on 20 carries (with one touchdown), averaging 12 yards per game.
- Jaylan Knighton has 40 attempts for a team-high 182 rushing yards (60.7 per game) and zero touchdowns.
- LJ Johnson Jr. has 153 yards on 27 carries (51 ypg), with one rushing touchdown.
- Jordan Hudson has hauled in eight receptions for 159 yards, best on his team, and two touchdowns. He averages 53 receiving yards per game.
- Jordan Kerley has also tacked on eight catches for 153 yards and two touchdowns this year. He puts up 38.3 receiving yards per game.
- This season Roderick Daniels Jr. is averaging 37 yards per game, with six catches for 148 yards and one touchdown.
Charlotte Players to Watch
- Jalon Jones leads the team with 363 passing yards (90.8 yards per game) and has a 61.4% completion percentage this year (35-of-57) while throwing two touchdowns with three interceptions. He also has 261 rushing yards on 52 carries with three touchdowns, averaging 65.3 yards per game.
- So far this year Durell Robinson has rushed for 117 yards on 26 carries (39 ypg), with one rushing touchdown.
- Jack Hestera has 16 catches, leading his team with 205 yards (51.3 ypg) while scoring one touchdown this season.
- Jairus Mack has chipped in with 141 yards (on six catches) and one touchdown.
- Bryce Kennon has racked up 117 yards on eight receptions with one touchdown, averaging 29.3 yards per game.
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