Penn State vs. Northwestern: College Football Betting Picks, Predictions and Tips – September 30, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 24, 2023

The No. 6 Penn State Nittany Lions (4-0) will face off against the Northwestern Wildcats (2-2) in Big Ten action on Saturday, September 30, 2023 at Ryan Field. The Wildcats are currently heavy, 27-point underdogs. An over/under of 47.5 points has been set for the outing.

Want to bet on Penn State or Northwestern in this matchup? Head to DraftKings Sportsbook to place your wager today!

Penn State vs. Northwestern Odds

Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Penn State -27 -110 -110 47.5 -110 -110

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Computer Pick

Computer picks for Penn State vs Northwestern
ATS Total Score prediction
Northwestern (+27) Under (47.5) Penn State 36 Northwestern 10

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Team Stat Comparison

Penn State Northwestern
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 40.5 (18) 24.0 (94)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 8.8 (4) 25.8 (74)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 0 (1) 4 (31)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 11 (3) 4 (95)

Penn State vs. Northwestern Betting Insights

Penn State Stats and Trends

  • Penn State has covered in each of its four games with a spread this season.
  • The Nittany Lions have been favored by 27 points or more once this season, and covered the spread.
  • Penn State games have gone over the point total twice this season.
  • In two games this season, the Lions and their opponents have combined to score more than 47.5 points.
  • The average total in PSU’s outings this year is 47.6, 0.1 more points than this game’s over/under.

Northwestern Stats and Trends

  • Northwestern has a record of 2-1-0 against the spread this year.
  • So far this season, each Northwestern game has hit the over.
  • The Wildcats and their opponents have combined to score more than 47.5 points twice this season.
  • Northwestern has had an average of 42.5 points scored in their games so far this season, 5.0 points fewer than this game’s over/under.

Penn State Players to Watch

  • Drew Allar has passed for 903 yards while completing 67.2% of his throws (84-of-125), with eight touchdowns and zero interceptions (225.8 yards per game). He’s also rushed 23 times for 74 yards and one touchdown, averaging 18.5 yards per game.
  • Kaytron Allen has racked up a team-best 280 rushing yards (70.0 per game) and two touchdowns.
  • So far this year Nicholas Singleton has rushed for 203 yards on 53 carries (50.8 ypg), with five rushing touchdowns. Singleton also makes an impact in the passing game, catching seven passes for 72 yards (18.0 ypg).
  • This season Keandre Lambert has 21 catches and leads the team with 286 yards (71.5 per game) while scoring three touchdowns.
  • Harrison Wallace III has tacked on 98 yards (on 10 catches).
  • Tyler Warren is averaging 22.5 yards per game, racking up 12 receptions for 90 yards and four touchdowns.

Northwestern Players to Watch

  • Ben Bryant leads the team with 804 passing yards (201.0 yards per game) and has a 59.6% completion percentage this year (81-of-136) while throwing six touchdowns with three interceptions.
  • Cam Porter has run for a team-leading 203 yards on 49 carries (50.8 yards per game) while scoring one touchdown.
  • A.J. Henning has run for 76 yards on 12 carries (19.0 yards per game), with one touchdown on the ground this year. He also has 16 catches for 111 yards (27.8 per game) and two touchdowns.
  • Bryce Kirtz has 17 catches and paces his team with 274 receiving yards (91.3 ypg) while scoring two touchdowns.
  • Cam Johnson’s stat line this year shows 16 catches for 176 yards. He averages 44.0 receiving yards per game.
  • Joseph Himon II has racked up 122 yards on six receptions with one touchdown, averaging 30.5 yards per game.

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