Toledo vs. Northern Illinois: College Football Betting Picks, Predictions and Tips – September 30, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 24, 2023

The Toledo Rockets (3-1) are major, 12.5-point favorites at home against the Northern Illinois Huskies (1-3) on Saturday, September 30, 2023. Each squad has a solid pass defense, with the Rockets 20th in the nation, and the Huskies fourth. An over/under of 48 points has been set for the contest.

Want to bet on Toledo or Northern Illinois in this matchup? Head to DraftKings Sportsbook to place your wager today!

Toledo vs. Northern Illinois Odds

Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Toledo -12.5 -112 -108 48 -110 -110

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Computer Pick

Computer picks for Toledo vs Northern Illinois
ATS Total Score prediction
Northern Illinois (+12.5) Over (48) Toledo 31 Northern Illinois 21

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Team Stat Comparison

Toledo Northern Illinois
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 42.3 (13) 15.8 (126)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 20.3 (48) 23.8 (64)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 8 (100) 8 (100)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 8 (20) 5 (76)

Toledo vs. Northern Illinois Betting Insights

Toledo Stats and Trends

  • Toledo has covered twice in four games with a spread this season.
  • The Rockets have covered the spread once when favored by 12.5 points or more this season (in two opportunities).
  • So far this season, three of Toledo’s four games have hit the over.
  • The Rockets and their opponents have combined to score more than 48 points in three of four games this season.
  • The average total in Toledo’s contests this year is 54.1, 6.1 more points than this game’s over/under.

Recent Head-to-Head Matchups

Toledo has an edge against Northern Illinois over the past three matchups between these two squads, collecting a 2-1 record in those games. In those games against the Huskies, the Rockets have a 2-1 record against the spread with those games going over the point total on two occasions. Toledo has had the scoring advantage in those three matchups, totaling 113 points while Northern Illinois scored 78.

Northern Illinois Stats and Trends

  • Northern Illinois has covered once in four games with a spread this season.
  • Northern Illinois games have gone over the point total twice this year.
  • The Huskies and their opponents have scored more than 48 combined points once this season.
  • The average over/under for NIU’s matchups this season is 51.5, 3.5 more points than this game’s point total.

Toledo Players to Watch

  • This year, DeQuan Finn has put up 673 passing yards (168.3 yards per game) while going 57-for-90 (63.3% completion percentage) and throwing eight touchdowns and four interceptions. He has tacked on 180 rushing yards on 42 carries with two touchdowns, averaging 45.0 yards per game.
  • Peny Boone has taken 52 attempts for a team-leading 402 rushing yards (100.5 yards per game) while scoring five touchdowns.
  • This season Jerjuan Newton has 16 catches and leads the team with 209 yards (52.3 per game) while hauling in six touchdowns.
  • Junior Vandeross III has added 147 yards (on 12 catches).
  • Larry Stephens has totaled 103 yards on eight receptions with two touchdowns, averaging 34.3 yards per game.

Northern Illinois Players to Watch

  • Rocky Lombardi leads his team with 566 passing yards (141.5 per game) and has a 50.5% completion percentage (51-of-101), throwing one touchdown pass and four interceptions.
  • Antario Brown has rushed for a team-leading 182 yards on 64 carries (45.5 yards per game) while scoring one touchdown.
  • So far this year Gavin Williams has run for 101 yards on 25 carries (25.3 ypg).
  • Kacper Rutkiewicz has 14 catches and paces his team with 204 receiving yards (51.0 ypg) while scoring one touchdown.
  • Christian Carter has chipped in with eight receptions for 118 yards and one touchdown.
  • Grayson Barnes is averaging 20.8 yards per game, racking up seven receptions for 83 yards.

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