The No. 23 Missouri Tigers (4-0) will face off against their SEC-rival, the Vanderbilt Commodores (2-3) in a matchup on Saturday, September 30, 2023 at Vanderbilt Stadium. The Commodores will need their best effort to pull off an upset, they are currently 14-point underdogs. An over/under of 54.5 points has been set for the contest.
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Missouri vs. Vanderbilt Odds
| Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Missouri | -14 | -110 | -110 | 54.5 | -110 | -110 |
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Computer Pick
| ATS | Total | Score prediction |
|---|---|---|
| Missouri (-14) | Over (54.5) | Missouri 42 Vanderbilt 18 |
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Team Stat Comparison
| Missouri | Vanderbilt | |
|---|---|---|
| Off. Points per Game (Rank) | 30.5 (66) | 33.4 (15) |
| Def. Points per Game (Rank) | 20.8 (50) | 32.4 (125) |
| Turnovers Allowed (Rank) | 2 (6) | 12 (129) |
| Turnovers Forced (Rank) | 3 (109) | 8 (20) |
Missouri vs. Vanderbilt Betting Insights
Missouri Stats and Trends
- Missouri has covered twice in four chances against the spread this season.
- The Tigers have not covered the spread this season (0-2 ATS) when playing as at least 14-point favorites.
- Missouri games have hit the over three out of four times this season.
- The Tigers and their opponents have scored a combined total of more than 54.5 points twice this season (in four games).
- Mizzou’s games this season have had an average of 48.0 points, 6.5 fewer than this matchup’s over/under.
Recent Head-to-Head Matchups
Missouri has a 3-0 advantage over Vanderbilt in the last three matchups between these two teams. The Commodores are 2-1 against the spread in those games against the Tigers while the two teams have gone over the total on one occasion. Missouri outscored Vanderbilt 95-42 in those three head-to-head matchups.
Vanderbilt Stats and Trends
- Vanderbilt is winless against the spread this season (0-4-0).
- Vanderbilt games have hit the over three out of four times this year.
- The Dores have combined with their opponents to score more than 54.5 points in all five games this season.
- The average over/under for Vandy’s outings this season is 54.3, 0.2 fewer points than this game’s point total.
Missouri Players to Watch
- This season, Brady Cook has put up 1,073 passing yards (268.3 yards per game) while connecting on 72 of 100 passes (72% completion percentage), with seven touchdowns and zero interceptions.
- Cody Schrader has run for a team-high 403 yards on 65 attempts (100.8 yards per game) and two touchdowns.
- Nathaniel Peat has run for 186 yards on 44 carries (46.5 yards per game), with two touchdowns on the ground this year. He also has four catches for 81 yards (20.3 per game) and one touchdown.
- Luther Burden III has hauled in 32 receptions for 504 yards, best on his team, and three touchdowns. He averages 126.0 receiving yards per game.
- Mookie Collier has also added eight receptions for 137 yards.
- Theo Wease Jr. has collected 136 yards on 14 receptions with two touchdowns, averaging 34.0 yards per game.
Vanderbilt Players to Watch
- AJ Swann leads his team with 1,251 passing yards (250.2 per game) and has a 53.2% completion percentage (92-of-173), throwing 11 touchdown passes and seven interceptions.
- Patrick Smith has rushed for a team-high 236 yards on 52 carries (47.2 yards per game) and two touchdowns.
- So far this year Sedrick Alexander has rushed for 169 yards on 39 carries (33.8 ypg), with three rushing touchdowns.
- Will Sheppard has reeled in 27 passes for a team-high 345 yards while scoring six touchdowns. He averages 69.0 yards per game.
- London Humphreys has also tacked on 299 yards on 12 catches and three touchdowns. He averages 59.8 receiving yards per game this year.
- Jayden McGowan has 295 receiving yards on 23 receptions, averaging 59.0 yards per game.
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