Texas A&M vs. Arkansas: College Football Betting Picks, Predictions and Tips – September 30, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 24, 2023

AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas will play host to the Texas A&M Aggies (3-1) and the Arkansas Razorbacks (2-2) on September 30, 2023, starting at 12:00 PM ET, airing on SECN. The Aggies are a 6.5-point favorite in the game. The over/under is 53.5 in the outing.

Want to bet on Texas A&M or Arkansas in this matchup? Head to DraftKings Sportsbook to place your wager today!

Texas A&M vs. Arkansas Odds

Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Texas A&M -6.5 -110 -110 53.5 -110 -110

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Computer Pick

Computer picks for Texas A&M vs Arkansas
ATS Total Score prediction
Texas A&M (-6.5) Over (53.5) Texas A&M 43 Arkansas 13

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Team Stat Comparison

Texas A&M Arkansas
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 39.8 (21) 36.5 (38)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 17.8 (30) 22.8 (58)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 4 (31) 4 (31)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 2 (119) 8 (20)

Texas A&M vs. Arkansas Betting Insights

Texas A&M Stats and Trends

  • Texas A&M is 3-1-0 ATS this season.
  • When playing as at least 6.5-point favorites this season, the Aggies have an ATS record of 3-0.
  • Texas A&M games have hit the over twice this season.
  • Aggies games have had a combined total of more than 53.5 points twice this season (over four outings).
  • A&M has an average total of 50.9 in their contests this year, 2.6 fewer points than this game’s over/under.

Recent Head-to-Head Matchups

Texas A&M has a 2-1 advantage over Arkansas in the last three matchups between these two squads. In those games against the Aggies, the Razorbacks have a 2-1 record against the spread with those games outpacing the total on one occasion. Texas A&M outscored Arkansas 75-72 in those three head-to-head matchups.

Arkansas Stats and Trends

  • Arkansas has a record of 2-2-0 against the spread this season.
  • The Razorbacks have won their only game this season when playing as at least 6.5-point underdogs.
  • In Arkansas’ four contests this year, the combined scoring has gone over the point total three times.
  • The Hogs have played three games this season that finished with a combined score higher than 53.5 points.
  • The average total for Arkansas games this season has been 55.6, 2.1 more points than this matchup’s over/under.

Texas A&M Players to Watch

  • Conner Weigman leads the team with 979 passing yards (244.8 yards per game) and has a 68.9% completion percentage this year (82-of-119) while throwing eight touchdowns with two interceptions. He also has 63 rushing yards on 12 carries with two touchdowns, averaging 15.8 yards per game.
  • Amari Daniels has run for a team-high 234 yards on 39 attempts (58.5 yards per game) and two touchdowns.
  • Le’Veon Moss has 169 yards on 29 carries (56.3 ypg), with two rushing touchdowns.
  • This season Evan Stewart has 22 receptions for a team-high 307 receiving yards (102.3 per game) and three touchdowns.
  • Ainias Smith has contributed with 18 catches for 272 yards this year. He averages 68.0 receiving yards per game.
  • This season Jahdae Walker has caught nine passes for 148 yards and one touchdown, averaging 37.0 receiving yards per game.

Arkansas Players to Watch

  • K.J. Jefferson has thrown for 918 yards while completing 70.4% of his passes (76-of-108), with nine touchdowns and three interceptions this year (229.5 yards per game). He’s also carried the ball 47 times for 128 yards and one touchdown, averaging 32.0 yards per game.
  • AJ Green has 31 attempts for a team-high 190 rushing yards (47.5 per game) and two touchdowns.
  • So far this year Rashod Dubinion has run for 174 yards on 41 carries (43.5 ypg), with one rushing touchdown.
  • Andrew Armstrong has racked up 24 receptions for 273 yards, best on his team, and three touchdowns. He averages 68.3 receiving yards per game.
  • Luke Hasz has also added 15 catches for 239 yards and three touchdowns this year. He averages 59.8 receiving yards per game.
  • Isaac TeSlaa has caught 13 passes for 174 yards and one touchdown, averaging 43.5 yards per game this year.

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