Two of the country’s stingiest pass defenses battle when the No. 11 Notre Dame Fighting Irish (4-1) bring college football’s sixth-ranked passing D into a contest versus the No. 17 Duke Blue Devils (4-0), with the No. 3 unit, on Saturday, September 30, 2023. The Fighting Irish are 5.5-point favorites. The over/under is set at 52.5 in the outing.
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Notre Dame vs. Duke Odds
| Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Notre Dame | -5.5 | -110 | -110 | 52.5 | -110 | -110 |
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Computer Pick
| ATS | Total | Score prediction |
|---|---|---|
| Duke (+5.5) | Under (52.5) | Duke 25 Notre Dame 23 |
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Team Stat Comparison
| Notre Dame | Duke | |
|---|---|---|
| Off. Points per Game (Rank) | 39.6 (4) | 37.3 (33) |
| Def. Points per Game (Rank) | 12.8 (21) | 8.8 (4) |
| Turnovers Allowed (Rank) | 2 (6) | 1 (2) |
| Turnovers Forced (Rank) | 5 (76) | 6 (55) |
Notre Dame vs. Duke Betting Insights
Notre Dame Stats and Trends
- Notre Dame is 3-1-1 ATS this season.
- The Fighting Irish have covered the spread three times this season (3-1 ATS) when playing as at least 5.5-point favorites.
- Notre Dame games have gone over the point total three out of five times this season.
- The Irish and their opponents have combined to score more than 52.5 points in three of five games this season.
- Notre Dame’s matchups this year have an average total of 52.1, 0.4 fewer points than this game’s over/under.
Duke Stats and Trends
- Duke has put together a 3-1-0 record against the spread this season.
- The Blue Devils have been an underdog by 5.5 points or more once this season, and covered the spread.
- This season, games featuring Duke have gone over the point total twice.
- The Devils have not played a game this season that ended with a combined score higher than 52.5 points.
- Duke has had an average of 49.3 points scored in their games so far this season, 3.2 points fewer than this game’s over/under.
Notre Dame Players to Watch
- This year, Sam Hartman has recorded 1,236 passing yards (247.2 yards per game) while going 81-for-115 (70.4% completion percentage) and throwing 14 touchdowns and zero interceptions.
- Audric Estime has taken 77 carries for a team-leading 591 rushing yards (118.2 yards per game) while scoring five touchdowns.
- Jeremiyah Love has 176 yards on 26 carries (35.2 ypg), with one rushing touchdown.
- Chris Tyree has racked up nine receptions for 241 yards, best on his team, and two touchdowns. He averages 48.2 receiving yards per game.
- Jayden Thomas has chipped in with 195 yards (on 13 catches) and one touchdown.
- Jaden Greathouse has 166 receiving yards on 12 receptions, with three touchdowns, averaging 33.2 yards per game.
Duke Players to Watch
- Riley Leonard leads the team with 778 passing yards (194.5 yards per game) and has a 67.7% completion percentage this year (67-of-99) while throwing two touchdowns. He also has 238 rushing yards on 29 carries with four touchdowns, averaging 59.5 yards per game.
- Jordan Waters has churned out a team-high 258 rushing yards (64.5 yards per game) and scored seven touchdowns. He has tacked on five catches for 76 yards (19.0 receiving yards per game).
- Jalon Calhoun has hauled in 20 receptions for 258 yards, best on his team, and one touchdown. He averages 64.5 receiving yards per game.
- Jordan Moore has contributed with 246 yards on 20 catches and two touchdowns. He averages 61.5 receiving yards per game this year.
- Nicky Dalmolin has caught nine passes for 108 yards, averaging 27.0 yards per game this year.
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