Texas vs. Kansas: College Football Betting Picks, Predictions and Tips – September 30, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 24, 2023

The No. 3 Texas Longhorns (4-0), with the 19th-ranked run defense in the country, will host the No. 24 Kansas Jayhawks (4-0) and the 10th-ranked rushing offense, on Saturday, September 30, 2023. The Jayhawks are big underdogs, by 16 points. An over/under of 61 points has been set for the contest.

Want to bet on Texas or Kansas in this matchup? Head to DraftKings Sportsbook to place your wager today!

Texas vs. Kansas Odds

Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Texas -16 -110 -110 61 -112 -108

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Computer Pick

Computer picks for Texas vs Kansas
ATS Total Score prediction
Texas (-16) Under (61) Texas 39 Kansas 14

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Team Stat Comparison

Texas Kansas
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 35.0 (44) 37.8 (30)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 12.5 (11) 22.8 (58)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 3 (14) 4 (31)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 7 (38) 7 (38)

Texas vs. Kansas Betting Insights

Texas Stats and Trends

  • Texas has covered twice in four matchups with a spread this season.
  • The Longhorns have been favored by 16 points or more three times this season, and covered the spread in one of those contests.
  • Games featuring Texas have hit the over just once this season.
  • The Horns four games this season have all gone under this contest’s total of 61 points.
  • Texas has an average total of 52.4 in their matchups this year, 8.6 fewer points than this game’s over/under.

Recent Head-to-Head Matchups

In the last two matchups between these two teams, Kansas and Texas have an even 1-1 record. The Longhorns and Jayhawks are split 1-1 against the spread in those games while going over the total both times. Texas scored 111 points in those two matchups compared to Kansas’ 71.

Kansas Stats and Trends

  • Kansas has won two games against the spread this season.
  • So far this year, two Kansas games have gone over the point total.
  • The Jayhawks and their opponents have scored more than 61 combined points twice this season.
  • KU’s contests this season have a 57.8-point average over/under, 3.2 fewer points than this game’s point total.

Texas Players to Watch

  • Quinn Ewers leads the team with 1,033 passing yards (258.3 yards per game) and has a 64.3% completion percentage this year (72-of-112) while throwing nine touchdowns.
  • Jonathon Brooks has run for a team-leading 379 yards on 65 carries (94.8 yards per game) while scoring three touchdowns. He also averages 16.0 receiving yards per game, grabbing four passes for 64 yards and one touchdown.
  • CJ Baxter has rushed for 90 yards on 22 carries (30.0 yards per game), with one touchdown on the ground this year.
  • Ja’Tavion Sanders has grabbed 12 passes for a team-best 268 yards while scoring one touchdown. He averages 89.3 yards per game.
  • Xavier Worthy has chipped in with 252 yards on 19 catches and three touchdowns. He puts up 63.0 receiving yards per game this year.
  • This season Adonai Mitchell has caught 12 passes for 180 yards and three touchdowns, averaging 45.0 receiving yards per game.

Kansas Players to Watch

  • Jalon Daniels leads the team with 705 passing yards (235.0 yards per game) and has a 74.7% completion percentage this year (56-of-75) while throwing five touchdowns with one interception. He also has 74 rushing yards on 27 carries, averaging 24.7 yards per game.
  • Devin Neal has rushed for a team-leading 394 yards on 57 attempts (98.5 yards per game) while scoring five touchdowns. He also averages 36.3 receiving yards per game, grabbing 11 passes for 145 yards and one touchdown.
  • Daniel Hishaw Jr. has 235 yards on 33 carries (58.8 ypg), with three rushing touchdowns.
  • Lawrence Arnold has racked up 18 receptions for 246 yards, best on his team. He averages 61.5 receiving yards per game.
  • Luke Grimm has chipped in with 13 catches for 175 yards and three touchdowns this year. He puts up 43.8 receiving yards per game.
  • Quentin Skinner has 173 receiving yards on 12 receptions, averaging 43.3 yards per game.

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