Georgia vs. Auburn: College Football Betting Picks, Predictions and Tips – September 30, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 24, 2023

The No. 1 Georgia Bulldogs (4-0) are heavy, 14-point favorites on the road versus the Auburn Tigers (3-1) on Saturday, September 30, 2023. Each team features a stout defense, with the Bulldogs ninth in points per game conceded, and the Tigers 23rd. The over/under for the contest is 45 points.

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Georgia vs. Auburn Odds

Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Georgia -14 -115 -105 45 -110 -110

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Computer Pick

Computer picks for Georgia vs Auburn
ATS Total Score prediction
Auburn (+14) Over (45) Auburn 33 Georgia 15

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Team Stat Comparison

Georgia Auburn
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 41.5 (17) 32.0 (59)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 11.3 (8) 16.0 (21)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 4 (31) 7 (83)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 7 (38) 8 (20)

Georgia vs. Auburn Betting Insights

Georgia Stats and Trends

  • Georgia has put together a 0-2-1 record against the spread this season.
  • The Bulldogs have not covered the spread when favored by 14 points or more this season (in three opportunities).
  • Games featuring Georgia have hit the over just once this season.
  • Dawgs games this season have featured more combined points than this contest’s total of 45 points three times.
  • UGA has an average total of 54.9 in their outings this year, 9.9 more points than this matchup’s over/under.

Recent Head-to-Head Matchups

In the past three matchups between these two teams, Georgia has a 3-0 advantage over Auburn. In those games against the Tigers, the Bulldogs have a 3-0 record against the spread with those games outpacing the total on one occasion. Georgia has had the scoring advantage in those three matchups, totaling 103 points while Auburn notched 26.

Auburn Stats and Trends

  • Auburn has a record of 1-3-0 against the spread this year.
  • Auburn games have hit the over just once this year.
  • The Tigers have combined with their opponent to score more than 45 points only twice this season.
  • War Eagle’s average game total this season has been 54.9, 9.9 more points than this matchup’s over/under.

Georgia Players to Watch

  • Carson Beck leads the team with 1,184 passing yards (296.0 yards per game) and has a 72.7% completion percentage this year (93-of-128) while throwing six touchdowns with one interception.
  • Daijun Edwards has picked up a team-best 184 rushing yards (92.0 per game) and three touchdowns.
  • Kendall Milton has 96 yards on 23 carries (32.0 ypg), with one rushing touchdown.
  • Brock Bowers has hauled in 22 receptions for 255 yards, best on his team, and two touchdowns. He averages 63.8 receiving yards per game.
  • Marcus Rosemy has hauled in 11 catches for 182 yards (60.7 yards per game) and one touchdown.
  • Dominic Lovett has caught 17 passes for 169 yards, averaging 42.3 yards per game this year.

Auburn Players to Watch

  • Payton Thorne has thrown for 561 yards while completing 65.3% of his passes (49-of-75), with four touchdowns and three interceptions this year (140.3 yards per game). He’s also carried the ball 33 times for 106 yards and two touchdowns, averaging 26.5 yards per game.
  • Jarquez Hunter has 31 attempts for a team-high 143 rushing yards (47.7 per game) and one touchdown.
  • So far this year Damari Alston has rushed for 131 yards on 26 carries (32.8 ypg), with one rushing touchdown.
  • This season Jay Fair has 15 receptions for a team-high 184 receiving yards (46.0 per game) and two touchdowns.
  • Shane Hooks has hauled in eight catches for 106 yards (35.3 yards per game) and one touchdown.
  • Rivaldo Fairweather has 101 receiving yards on 11 receptions, with one touchdown, averaging 33.7 yards per game.

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