The Kentucky Wildcats (4-0), with college football’s 20th-ranked scoring defense, meet the No. 22 Florida Gators (3-1) and their 17th-ranked defense on Saturday, September 30, 2023. The Wildcats are only 1.5-point favorites. An over/under of 44 points has been set for the outing.
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Kentucky vs. Florida Odds
| Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kentucky | -1.5 | -110 | -110 | 44 | -110 | -110 |
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Computer Pick
| ATS | Total | Score prediction |
|---|---|---|
| Florida (+1.5) | Over (44) | Florida 27 Kentucky 20 |
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Team Stat Comparison
| Kentucky | Florida | |
|---|---|---|
| Off. Points per Game (Rank) | 38.0 (29) | 27.8 (79) |
| Def. Points per Game (Rank) | 15.5 (20) | 13.5 (15) |
| Turnovers Allowed (Rank) | 7 (83) | 4 (31) |
| Turnovers Forced (Rank) | 8 (20) | 1 (126) |
Kentucky vs. Florida Betting Insights
Kentucky Stats and Trends
- Kentucky has covered three times in four matchups with a spread this season.
- The Wildcats have an ATS record of 3-1 when playing as at least 1.5-point favorites this season.
- So far this season, two Kentucky games have gone over the point total.
- In three of four games this season, the Cats and their opponents have gone over 44 points.
- UK’s contests this year have an average point total of 52.5, 8.5 more points than this matchup’s over/under.
Recent Head-to-Head Matchups
In the past three matchups between these two squads, Kentucky holds a 2-1 advantage over Florida. The Wildcats have a 2-0-1 record against the spread in those games against the Gators, with the two squads not outscoring the total once. Florida has had the scoring advantage in those three matchups, recording 63 points while Kentucky put up 56.
Florida Stats and Trends
- Florida has won one game against the spread this year.
- The Gators have been an underdog by 1.5 points or more two times this year, and covered the spread in one of those contests.
- So far this season, just one Florida game has gone over the point total.
- The Gators and their opponents have scored more than 44 combined points twice this season.
- The average over/under for UF’s matchups this season is 51.1, 7.1 more points than this game’s total.
Kentucky Players to Watch
- Devin Leary leads the team with 1,060 passing yards (265.0 yards per game) and has a 58.9% completion percentage this year (73-of-124) while throwing nine touchdowns with five interceptions.
- Re’Mahn Davis has rushed for a team-high 314 yards on 50 carries (78.5 yards per game) and five touchdowns. He also has 137 receiving yards on 10 catches (34.3 yards per game) and two touchdowns.
- So far this year Jutahn McClain has rushed for 114 yards on 18 carries (28.5 ypg), with one rushing touchdown.
- This season Tayvion Robinson has 16 receptions for a team-high 283 receiving yards (70.8 per game) and three touchdowns.
- Barion Brown has also contributed with 214 yards on 15 catches and one touchdown. He averages 53.5 receiving yards per game this year.
- This season Dane Key is averaging 65.3 yards per game, with 13 catches for 196 yards and two touchdowns.
Florida Players to Watch
- Graham Mertz has thrown for 951 yards while completing 77.8% of his passes (84-of-108), with four touchdowns and one interception this year (237.8 yards per game).
- Trevor Etienne has 49 carries for a team-high 329 rushing yards (82.3 per game) and two touchdowns.
- So far this year Montrell Johnson has run for 211 yards on 46 carries (52.8 ypg), with three rushing touchdowns.
- This season Ricky Pearsall has 26 receptions for a team-high 362 receiving yards (90.5 per game) and one touchdown.
- Eugene Wilson III has chipped in with 104 yards (on 12 catches).
- This season Caleb Douglas is averaging 33.0 yards per game, with 10 catches for 99 yards and one touchdown.
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