Two of the country’s stingiest rushing defenses clash when the No. 2 Michigan Wolverines (4-0) take college football’s 15th-ranked rushing D into a game versus the Nebraska Cornhuskers (2-2), with the No. 2 unit, on Saturday, September 30, 2023. The Wolverines are massive, 17.5-point favorites. The over/under for the contest is 39.5 points.
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Michigan vs. Nebraska Odds
| Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan | -17.5 | -110 | -110 | 39.5 | -110 | -110 |
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Computer Pick
| ATS | Total | Score prediction |
|---|---|---|
| Michigan (-17.5) | Under (39.5) | Michigan 28 Nebraska 10 |
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Team Stat Comparison
| Michigan | Nebraska | |
|---|---|---|
| Off. Points per Game (Rank) | 31.8 (61) | 21.8 (107) |
| Def. Points per Game (Rank) | 5.8 (1) | 18.5 (32) |
| Turnovers Allowed (Rank) | 5 (47) | 9 (115) |
| Turnovers Forced (Rank) | 5 (76) | 4 (95) |
Michigan vs. Nebraska Betting Insights
Michigan Stats and Trends
- Michigan is winless against the spread this season (0-3-0).
- The Wolverines have not covered the spread when favored by 17.5 points or more this season (in three opportunities).
- Michigan and its opponent have not hit the over yet this season.
- So far this season, one of the Wolverines matchups has gone over 39.5 points.
- UM has an average total of 54.8 in their contests this year, 15.3 more points than this matchup’s over/under.
Recent Head-to-Head Matchups
Michigan has a 2-0 advantage over Nebraska in the past two matchups between these two teams. The Wolverines have a 2-0 record against the spread in those games against the Cornhuskers, with the two squads outscoring the total on one occasion. Michigan outscored Nebraska 66-32 in those two head-to-head matchups.
Nebraska Stats and Trends
- Nebraska has covered twice in four games with a spread this season.
- Games featuring Nebraska have hit the over just once this year.
- The Huskers have played three games this season that finished with a combined score higher than 39.5 points.
- Nebraska’s average game total this season has been 46.8, 7.3 more points than this matchup’s over/under.
Michigan Players to Watch
- This year, J.J. McCarthy has collected 915 passing yards (228.8 yards per game) while going 71-for-89 (79.8% completion percentage) and throwing eight touchdowns and three interceptions. He has tacked on 86 rushing yards on 14 carries, averaging 21.5 yards per game.
- Blake Corum has 58 attempts for a team-high 351 rushing yards (87.8 per game) and eight touchdowns.
- Donovan Edwards has rushed for 109 yards on 33 carries (27.3 yards per game) this year. He also has 11 catches for 100 yards (25.0 per game).
- This season Roman Wilson has 15 catches and leads the team with 268 yards (67.0 per game) while hauling in six touchdowns.
- Cornelius Johnson has contributed with 224 yards (on 13 catches) and one touchdown.
- Colston Loveland has 168 receiving yards on 14 receptions, averaging 42.0 yards per game.
Nebraska Players to Watch
- Heinrich Haarberg has thrown for 278 yards while completing 51.1% of his passes (24-of-47), with four touchdowns and zero interceptions this year (69.5 yards per game). He’s also carried the ball 42 times for 272 yards and two touchdowns, averaging 68.0 yards per game.
- Anthony Grant has 208 yards on 38 carries (69.3 ypg), with two rushing touchdowns.
- Billy Kemp has hauled in 13 passes for a team-best 132 yards with one touchdown. He averages 33.0 yards per game.
- Alex Bullock has also added five catches for 103 yards and one touchdown this year. He averages 34.3 receiving yards per game.
- This season Thomas Fidone II is averaging 28.0 yards per game, with seven catches for 84 yards and three touchdowns.
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