Toledo vs. Western Michigan: College Football Betting Picks, Predictions and Tips – September 23, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 17, 2023

The Toledo Rockets (2-1) will face off against the Western Michigan Broncos (1-2) in MAC action on Saturday, September 23, 2023 at the Glass Bowl. The Broncos are currently heavy, 21.5-point underdogs. The over/under for the contest is 51.5 points.

Want to bet on Toledo or Western Michigan in this matchup? Head to DraftKings Sportsbook to place your wager today!

Toledo vs. Western Michigan Odds

Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Toledo -21.5 -110 -110 51.5 -110 -110

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Computer Pick

Computer picks for Toledo vs Western Michigan
ATS Total Score prediction
Western Michigan (+21.5) Under (51.5) Toledo 30 Western Michigan 20

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Team Stat Comparison

Toledo Western Michigan
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 40.0 (32) 17.3 (118)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 16.7 (35) 35.3 (113)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 4 (60) 3 (33)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 4 (65) 2 (105)

Toledo vs. Western Michigan Betting Insights

Toledo Stats and Trends

  • Toledo has a record of 2-1-0 against the spread this season.
  • The Rockets have been favored by 21.5 points or more once this season, and covered the spread.
  • Toledo games have hit the over twice this season.
  • The Rockets and their opponents have combined to score more than 51.5 points twice this season (in three games).
  • The average total in Toledo’s contests this year is 55.0, 3.5 more than this matchup’s over/under.

Recent Head-to-Head Matchups

Western Michigan has an edge against Toledo over the last three matchups between these two squads, collecting a 2-1 record in those games. In those games against the Rockets, the Broncos have a 2-1 record against the spread with those games eclipsing the point total on one occasion. Toledo has had the scoring advantage in those three matchups, scoring 86 points while Western Michigan notched 76.

Western Michigan Stats and Trends

  • Western Michigan has a record of 1-2-0 against the spread this year.
  • The Broncos have not covered the spread when an underdog by 21.5 points or more this year (in two opportunities).
  • So far this season, one Western Michigan game has gone over the point total.
  • The Broncos and their opponents have scored more than 51.5 combined points twice this season.
  • The average over/under for WMU’s outings this season is 52.3, 0.8 more points than this game’s total.

Toledo Players to Watch

  • DeQuan Finn leads the team with 554 passing yards (184.7 yards per game) and has a 64.5% completion percentage this year (49-of-76) while throwing six touchdowns with two interceptions. He also has 144 rushing yards on 36 carries with two touchdowns, averaging 48.0 yards per game.
  • Peny Boone has churned out a team-high 191 rushing yards (63.7 yards per game) and scored three touchdowns.
  • This season Jerjuan Newton has 12 catches and leads the team with 137 yards (45.7 per game) while hauling in three touchdowns.
  • Junior Vandeross III has hauled in 10 catches for 119 yards (39.7 yards per game).
  • This season CC Ezirim has caught three passes for 79 yards, averaging 79.0 receiving yards per game.

Western Michigan Players to Watch

  • Jack Salopek has passed for 278 yards while completing 70% of his throws (35-of-50), with one touchdown and two interceptions (92.7 yards per game). He’s also rushed 15 times for 41 yards, averaging 13.7 yards per game.
  • Jalen Buckley has taken 52 attempts for a team-leading 311 rushing yards (103.7 yards per game) while scoring two touchdowns.
  • So far this year Zahir Abdus-Salaam has rushed for 115 yards on 35 carries (38.3 ypg), with one rushing touchdown.
  • Kenneth Womack has grabbed 10 passes for a team-high 132 yards. He averages 44.0 yards per game.
  • Anthony Sambucci has also contributed with three catches for 79 yards and one touchdown this year. He averages 39.5 receiving yards per game.
  • Austin Hence has caught 10 passes for 68 yards and one touchdown, averaging 22.7 yards per game this year.

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