Southern Miss vs. Arkansas State: College Football Betting Picks, Predictions and Tips – September 23, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 17, 2023

A pair of Sun Belt teams square off when the Southern Miss Golden Eagles (1-2) face off against the Arkansas State Red Wolves (1-2) on Saturday, September 23, 2023 at Centennial Bank Stadium. The Golden Eagles are favored by 6.5 points. The over/under for the contest is 46.5 points.

Want to bet on Southern Miss or Arkansas State in this matchup? Head to DraftKings Sportsbook to place your wager today!

Southern Miss vs. Arkansas State Odds

Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Southern Miss -6.5 -110 -110 46.5 -112 -108

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Computer Pick

Computer picks for Southern Miss vs Arkansas State
ATS Total Score prediction
Arkansas State (+6.5) Over (46.5) Arkansas State 28 Southern Miss 27

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Team Stat Comparison

Southern Miss Arkansas State
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 18.7 (117) 11.3 (131)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 33.7 (111) 39.0 (120)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 2 (12) 5 (77)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 2 (105) 0 (129)

Southern Miss vs. Arkansas State Betting Insights

Southern Miss Stats and Trends

  • Southern Miss has covered once in three chances against the spread this season.
  • The Golden Eagles have covered the spread when playing as at least 6.5-point favorites in their only opportunity this season.
  • So far this season, two Southern Miss games have gone over the point total.
  • Golden Eagles games have had a combined total of more than 46.5 points twice this season (over three outings).
  • Southern Miss has an average point total of 49.7 in their outings this year, 3.2 more points than this game’s over/under.

Arkansas State Stats and Trends

  • Arkansas State has not won against the spread this year in three chances.
  • The Red Wolves have not covered the spread when an underdog by 6.5 points or more this season (in two opportunities).
  • So far this year, one Arkansas State game has gone over the point total.
  • The Red Wolves have combined with their opponent to score more than 46.5 points just once this season.
  • The average total for ASU games this season has been 54.2, 7.7 more points than this matchup’s over/under.

Southern Miss Players to Watch

  • This season, Billy Wiles has recorded 598 passing yards (199.3 yards per game) while completing 51 of 95 passes (53.7% completion percentage), with three touchdowns and two interceptions.
  • Rodrigues Clark has picked up a team-high 157 rushing yards (52.3 yards per game) and scored one touchdown.
  • So far this year Frank Gore Jr. has run for 76 yards on 30 carries (25.3 ypg), with one rushing touchdown.
  • Jakarius Caston has nine catches, leading his team with 181 yards (60.3 ypg) while hauling in one touchdown this season.
  • Latreal Jones has hauled in 10 catches for 114 yards (57.0 yards per game).
  • Tiaquelin Mims is averaging 23.3 yards per game, racking up six receptions for 70 yards.

Arkansas State Players to Watch

  • JT Shrout has passed for 227 yards while completing 47.1% of his throws (24-of-51), with zero touchdowns and two interceptions (113.5 yards per game).
  • Ja’Quez Cross has taken 28 carries for a team-leading 231 rushing yards (77.0 yards per game) while scoring two touchdowns.
  • So far this year Zak Wallace has rushed for 100 yards on 30 carries (33.3 ypg), with one rushing touchdown.
  • This season Courtney Jackson has seven receptions for a team-high 105 receiving yards (35.0 per game) and one touchdown.
  • Corey Rucker has also tacked on seven receptions for 85 yards.
  • This season Reagan Ealy is averaging 31.5 yards per game, with seven catches for 63 yards.

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