Kentucky vs. Vanderbilt: College Football Betting Picks, Predictions and Tips – September 23, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 17, 2023

The Kentucky Wildcats (3-0) will play a fellow SEC opponent, the Vanderbilt Commodores (2-2) in a matchup on Saturday, September 23, 2023 at Vanderbilt Stadium. The Commodores are notable underdogs in this one, with the spread posted at 13.5 points. The over/under in this outing is 50.5 points.

Want to bet on Kentucky or Vanderbilt in this matchup? Head to DraftKings Sportsbook to place your wager today!

Kentucky vs. Vanderbilt Odds

Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Kentucky -13.5 -110 -110 50.5 -110 -110

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Computer Pick

Computer picks for Kentucky vs Vanderbilt
ATS Total Score prediction
Vanderbilt (+13.5) Over (50.5) Kentucky 30 Vanderbilt 26

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Team Stat Comparison

Kentucky Vanderbilt
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 35.7 (49) 34.8 (12)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 11.3 (12) 29.3 (120)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 5 (77) 8 (119)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 5 (44) 6 (23)

Kentucky vs. Vanderbilt Betting Insights

Kentucky Stats and Trends

  • Kentucky has won two games against the spread this season.
  • The Wildcats have covered the spread twice when favored by 13.5 points or more this season (in three opportunities).
  • Kentucky games have hit the over once this season.
  • Only one of the Cats three matchups has gone over 50.5 points.
  • UK has an average total of 53.3 in their outings this year, 2.8 more points than this matchup’s over/under.

Recent Head-to-Head Matchups

Kentucky has an edge against Vanderbilt over the past three matchups between these two squads, recording a 2-1 record in those games. The Commodores are 3-0 against the spread in those games against the Wildcats while the two teams have gone over the point total on one occasion. Kentucky has had the scoring advantage in those three matchups, totaling 93 points while Vanderbilt put up 76.

Vanderbilt Stats and Trends

  • Vanderbilt is winless against the spread this season (0-3-0).
  • This season, games featuring Vanderbilt have gone over the point total twice.
  • Every game the Dores have played this season has had more than 50.5 combined points scored.
  • The average over/under for Vandy’s matchups this season is 55.7, 5.2 more points than this game’s total.

Kentucky Players to Watch

  • This campaign, Devin Leary has collected 855 passing yards (285 yards per game) while connecting on 58 of 95 passes (61.1% completion percentage), with eight touchdowns and three interceptions.
  • Re’Mahn Davis has taken 33 carries for a team-leading 236 rushing yards (78.7 yards per game) while scoring three touchdowns. He’s also caught nine passes for 143 yards with two touchdowns through the air.
  • So far this year Demie Sumo-Karngbaye has rushed for 58 yards on four carries (19.3 ypg), with one rushing touchdown.
  • Tayvion Robinson has hauled in 14 receptions for 260 yards, best on his team, and three touchdowns. He averages 86.7 receiving yards per game.
  • Dane Key has 138 receiving yards on nine receptions, with one touchdown, averaging 69 yards per game.

Vanderbilt Players to Watch

  • AJ Swann leads his team with 1,062 passing yards (265.5 per game) and has a 57.1% completion percentage (76-of-133), throwing 11 touchdown passes and four interceptions.
  • Patrick Smith has run for a team-high 200 yards on 40 carries (50 yards per game) and one touchdown.
  • So far this year Sedrick Alexander has rushed for 132 yards on 31 carries (33 ypg), with two rushing touchdowns.
  • This season Will Sheppard has 25 catches and leads the team with 314 yards (78.5 per game) while scoring six touchdowns.
  • Jayden McGowan’s stat line this year shows 23 catches for 295 yards. He puts up 73.8 receiving yards per game.
  • London Humphreys has caught nine passes for 266 yards and three touchdowns, averaging 66.5 yards per game this year.

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