Kentucky vs. Vanderbilt: College Football Betting Picks, Predictions and Tips – September 23, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 17, 2023

The Kentucky Wildcats (3-0) will play their SEC-rival, the Vanderbilt Commodores (2-2) in a matchup on Saturday, September 23, 2023 at Vanderbilt Stadium. The Wildcats are heavily favored in this contest, with the line sitting at 13.5 points. The over/under for the outing is 51 points.

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Kentucky vs. Vanderbilt Odds

Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Kentucky -13.5 -110 -110 51 -110 -110

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Computer Pick

Computer picks for Kentucky vs Vanderbilt
ATS Total Score prediction
Vanderbilt (+13.5) Over (51) Kentucky 30 Vanderbilt 26

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Team Stat Comparison

Kentucky Vanderbilt
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 35.7 (45) 34.8 (10)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 11.3 (13) 29.3 (123)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 5 (78) 8 (121)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 5 (43) 6 (22)

Kentucky vs. Vanderbilt Betting Insights

Kentucky Stats and Trends

  • Kentucky has won two games against the spread this season.
  • The Wildcats have covered the spread twice this season (2-1 ATS) when playing as at least 13.5-point favorites.
  • So far this season, one Kentucky game has hit the over.
  • So far this season, one of the Cats games has gone over 51 points.
  • UK’s outings this year have an average total of 53.3, 2.3 more points than this matchup’s over/under.

Recent Head-to-Head Matchups

Kentucky has an edge against Vanderbilt in the past three matchups between these two teams, collecting a 2-1 record in those games. In those games against the Wildcats, the Commodores have a 3-0 record against the spread with those games going over the point total on one occasion. Kentucky totaled 93 points in those three matchups compared to Vanderbilt’s 76.

Vanderbilt Stats and Trends

  • Vanderbilt has not won against the spread this season in three games with a spread.
  • So far this year, two Vanderbilt games have hit the over.
  • The Dores and their opponents have combined to score more than 51 points in all four games this season.
  • Vandy’s average game total this season has been 55.7, 4.7 more points than this matchup’s over/under.

Kentucky Players to Watch

  • Devin Leary leads his team with 855 passing yards (285.0 per game) and has a 61.1% completion percentage (58-of-95), throwing eight touchdown passes and three interceptions.
  • Re’Mahn Davis has racked up a team-high 236 rushing yards (78.7 yards per game) and scored three touchdowns. He has added nine catches for 143 yards (47.7 receiving yards per game) with two receiving touchdowns.
  • Demie Sumo-Karngbaye has 58 yards on four carries (19.3 ypg), with one rushing touchdown.
  • Tayvion Robinson has hauled in 14 receptions for 260 yards, best on his team, and three touchdowns. He averages 86.7 receiving yards per game.
  • Dane Key has 138 receiving yards on nine receptions, with one touchdown, averaging 69.0 yards per game.

Vanderbilt Players to Watch

  • AJ Swann leads his team with 1,062 passing yards (265.5 per game) and has a 57.1% completion percentage (76-of-133), throwing 11 touchdown passes and four interceptions.
  • Patrick Smith has rushed for a team-leading 200 yards on 40 attempts (50.0 yards per game) while scoring one touchdown.
  • Sedrick Alexander has 132 yards on 31 carries (33.0 ypg), with two rushing touchdowns.
  • Will Sheppard has 25 catches and paces his team with 314 receiving yards (78.5 ypg) while scoring six touchdowns.
  • Jayden McGowan has tacked on 295 yards (on 23 catches).
  • This season London Humphreys is averaging 66.5 yards per game, with nine catches for 266 yards and three touchdowns.

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